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SMTC

SEMTECH CORP
129.96post+$0.80 (+0.62%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)
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as of 20:00:28 UTCnext report Aug 31 · 26d
Earnings Room‹ back to SMTC

The report

fiscal Q2 2027 · from the company's notice
Aug 31after close26days out

Expected movement

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close
±10.6%is what the chain prices for this report itself, with the ordinary drift of the days around it taken out. Not a view we hold.

The full straddle prices ±25.6% over the 45 days to expiry; the rest of that is everyday movement, which the chain prices at 99% annualized.

expiry Sep 18 · first after the reportATM strike 130straddle 39.20ATM IV 109% vs 105% at Oct 16× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 129.96

Blast radius

2 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If SMTC moves ±25.6% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.

Positioning

Butterfly Ladder

No options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color
3/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±11.0% realized vs ±15.7% priced
May 26 '26±23.6%4.4%×0.19
Mar 16 '26±11.0%11.0%×1.00
Nov 24 '25±16.4%+2.5%×0.15
Aug 25 '25±15.3%+15.1%×0.99
May 27 '25±15.1%4.6%×0.30
Mar 13 '25±13.5%+21.1%×1.56
Nov 25 '24±16.3%+18.1%×1.11
Aug 27 '24±14.2%+11.2%×0.79
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q1 FY27 · reported 0.27 · rev $291M
record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.