What move does the options market price into Sanmina's report?

Implied ±11.8%, either direction.

How often does Sanmina move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SANMNasdaqPrinted Circuit Boards

Sanmina Corp (SANM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

165.00

Closed16:39 ET

Open167.12Volume1.4MMkt cap$8.9BP/E28.95EPS5.70

Day159.84 – 167.1271%52-wk118.10 – 288.6827%

SANM

Sanmina Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±11.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±12.6%·×0.94·fair

146.05185.09

straddle ±15.2%

spot 165.57exp Nov 20ATM strike 165ATM straddle 29.65IV 94%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 2

after close · in 1 day

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−17.46%

vs ±17.5% implied · ×1.00

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dAMD · customerAMD’s stock slides after Intel earnings reveal two big issues
10dPODD · customerPodium Surpasses $150M in AI Agent ARR in 2.5 Years

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−11.36%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

574 managers

Top fund weight

0.37%

SANM weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sanmina (SANM) is expected to report on Nov 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.1%
avg realized: ±12.6%

Nov 4 '24Nov 4 '24confirmed±8.6%▲+2.20%×0.26

Jan 27 '25Jan 27 '25confirmed±8.3%▲+3.20%×0.38

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±9.0%▼−2.13%×0.24

Q3 FY25Jul 28 '25confirmed±10.3%▲+22.79%×2.21

Q4 FY25Nov 3 '25confirmed±12.5%▲+16.56%×1.32

Q1 FY26Jan 26 '26confirmed±14.8%▼−21.56%×1.46

Q2 FY26Apr 27 '26confirmed±15.8%▲+14.56%×0.92

Q3 FY26Jul 27 '26confirmed±17.5%▼−17.46%×1.00

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q3 FY26±17.5%▼−17.46%×1.00

Q2 FY26±15.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.31OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

799+2%Nov 2019d2,569+15%

5940%Dec 1847d0.609960%0.60

7480%Jan 1575d0.641,162+1%0.64

210+1%Apr 16166d0.623410%0.62

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d799+2%2,569+15%0.31

Dec 1847d5940%9960%0.60

Jan 1575d7480%1,162+1%0.64

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.2%

Funds 3

MDY±0.1%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 2

AMD±9.3%×0.61

ANET±5.6%×0.37

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

3.62%as filednet margin · revenue −13.69% QoQ · +69.67% YoY

Revenue

$3.5B−13.69% QoQ

Gross profit

$363M+2.69% QoQ

10.49% margin

Operating income

$221M+40.90% QoQ

6.39% margin

Pre-tax income

$192M+46.22% QoQ

Net income

$125M+28.11% QoQ

3.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.1B−15.27% QoQ

Operating expenses

$142M−27.80% QoQ

SG&A $109M

Other operating $21M

R&D $8M

Other operating $3M

Other expense

$29M

Tax

$66M+99.39% QoQ

Revenue$3.5B−13.69%

Gross profit

$363M+2.69%

10.49% margin

Operating income

$221M+40.90%

6.39% margin

Pre-tax income

$192M+46.22%

Net income

$125M+28.11%

3.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.1B−15.27%

Operating expenses

$142M−27.80%

SG&A $109M

Other operating $21M

R&D $8M

Other expense

$29M

Tax$66M+99.39%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 27 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.18· ±4.7% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.7%4 of 10×2.18

CPIconsumer prices±3.5%8 of 10×1.63

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%10 of 19×1.13

FOMCrate decision±2.4%14 of 24×1.10

PPIproducer prices±2.3%3 of 10×1.08

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.1%11 of 19×0.96

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%7 of 12×0.72

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.12 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Jul 27 '26 · confirmed	2.12	—
Q2 FY26	Apr 27 '26 · confirmed	1.70	—
Q1 FY26	Jan 26 '26 · confirmed	2.38	—
Q4 FY25	Nov 3 '25 · confirmed	1.67	—

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod