What move does the options market price into Matador Resources's report?

Implied ±5.3%, either direction.

MTDRNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

60.90

Closed16:00 ET

Open60.36Volume1.4MMkt cap$7.5BP/E10.45EPS5.83Div yield2.46%

Day60.36 – 60.90100%52-wk35.98 – 65.8883%

MTDR

Matador Resources Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.3%implied · report alone

57.6864.08

straddle ±8.1%

spot 60.88exp Nov 20ATM strike 60ATM straddle 5.77IV 50%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.47%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.21%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

494 managers

Top fund weight

0.16%

MTDR weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Matador Resources (MTDR) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed—▲+3.47%—

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+3.47%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.13OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,2420%Nov 2020d9,611−6%

7650%Dec 1848d0.117,125−3%0.11

3,270+1%Jan 1576d0.369,0080%0.36

192−1%Mar 19139d0.0133,2480%0.01

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d1,2420%9,611−6%0.13

Dec 1848d7650%7,125−3%0.11

Jan 1576d3,270+1%9,0080%0.36

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.1%

Funds 3

MDY±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

34.87%as filednet margin · revenue +76.64% QoQ · +32.51% YoY

Revenue

$1.2B+76.64% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.1B+87.15% QoQ

94.90% margin

Operating income

$577M+1133.04% QoQ

48.66% margin

Pre-tax income

$520M+3254.10% QoQ

Net income

$414M+2715.07% QoQ

34.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$61M−13.61% QoQ

Operating expenses

$549M−1.12% QoQ

Depreciation $315M

Other operating $173M

SG&A $41M

Other operating $19M

Other expense

$61M

Tax

$107M+15719.44% QoQ

Revenue$1.2B+76.64%

Gross profit

$1.1B+87.15%

94.90% margin

Operating income

$577M+1133.04%

48.66% margin

Pre-tax income

$520M+3254.10%

Net income

$414M+2715.07%

34.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$61M−13.61%

Operating expenses

$549M−1.12%

Depreciation $315M

Other operating $173M

SG&A $41M

Other expense

$61M

Tax$107M+15719.44%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.17· ±2.2% vs ±1.9% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.2%9 of 24×1.17

PPIproducer prices±2.0%6 of 11×1.09

NFPjobs report±2.0%6 of 10×1.06

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%6 of 11×0.91

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%10 of 19×0.80

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%11 of 19×0.68

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%7 of 12×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 3.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	3.15	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.29	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod