What move does the options market price into M&T Bank's report?

Implied ±7.3%, either direction · provisional.

How often does M&T Bank move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MTBNYSEState Commercial Banks

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

224.50

pre 223.61 +0.69%

Pre-market08:01 ETdelayed

Open225.50Volume693,365Mkt cap$32.1BP/E11.76EPS19.02Div yield2.70%

Day223.61 – 225.500%52-wk174.74 – 254.3161%

MTB

M&T Bank Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.3%implied · straddle

205.88238.26

spot 222.07exp Jan 15ATM strike 220ATM straddle 19.05IV 24%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 15

before open · in 72 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.54%

vs ±2.8% implied · ×0.55

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 16 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dLPLA · supplierLPL Financial Holdings posts q3 net income $356.6 million, $4.52 diluted
64dMBUU · customerMalibu Boats (MBUU) Rides A Saxdor Wave Into A Choppier Market

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.23%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,163 managers

Top fund weight

0.46%

MTB weight · XLF

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

M&T Bank (MTB) is expected to report on Jan 15 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.8%
avg realized: ±1.8%

Jan 16 '25Jan 16 '25confirmed±3.4%▼−2.37%×0.70

Apr 14 '25Apr 14 '25confirmed±6.3%▲+0.35%×0.06

Jul 16 '25Jul 16 '25confirmed±3.6%▼−2.41%×0.67

Oct 16 '25Oct 16 '25confirmed±3.7%▼−3.46%×0.92

Jan 16 '26Jan 16 '26confirmed±3.1%▼−0.14%×0.05

Q1 FY26Apr 15 '26confirmed±3.6%▼−1.55%×0.43

Q2 FY26Jul 15 '26confirmed±3.6%▲+2.76%×0.77

Oct 16 '26Oct 16 '26confirmed±2.8%▼−1.54%×0.55

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±2.8%▼−1.54%×0.55

Q2 FY26±3.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 6 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.44OI · 6 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2240%Nov 2016d0.201,1010%0.20

6570%Dec 1844d0.501,3080%0.50

report · Jan 15 · before open · est.

454+3%Jan 1572d1,0310%

82+3%Feb 19107d0.402070%0.40

960%Mar 19135d0.195120%0.19

580%Apr 16163d0.65890%0.65

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d2240%1,1010%0.20

Dec 1844d6570%1,3080%0.50

report · Jan 15 · before open · est.

Jan 1572d454+3%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±7.3%

Funds 4

XLF±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

SPY±0.0%

Suppliers 1

LPLA±5.4%×0.74

Customers 1

MBUU±6.3%×0.87

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

32.31%as filednet margin · revenue +3.73% QoQ · +5.68% YoY

Revenue$2.5B+3.73%

Pre-tax income$1.1B+23.17%

Net income$818M32.31%+23.19%

Tax$245M+23.12%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 08:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.55· ±1.9% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.9%11 of 24×1.55

PPIproducer prices±1.3%5 of 10×1.10

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.8%9 of 19×0.68

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%8 of 19×0.67

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%6 of 12×0.66

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%3 of 10×0.62

NFPjobs report±0.7%3 of 10×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 5.32 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 15 '26 · confirmed	5.32	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 15 '26 · confirmed	4.13	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod