What move does the options market price into Medical Properties Trust's report?

Implied ±30.4%, either direction · provisional.

MPTNYSEReal Estate Investment Trusts

Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.26

−0.18 · −7.30%

post 2.25 −0.53%

Closed18:05 ET

Open2.42Volume48.0MMkt cap$1.3BEPS-0.06Div yield16.00%

Day2.11 – 2.4442%52-wk2.06 – 6.095%

MPT

Medical Properties Trust Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±30.4%implied · straddle

1.572.93

spot 2.25exp Mar 19ATM strike 2.5ATM straddle 0.80IV 67%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 110 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−11.27%

vs ±23.6% implied · ×0.48

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.85%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

492 managers

Top fund weight

0.09%

MPT weight · VNQ

N-PORTJul 31 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Medical Properties Trust (MPT) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±6.7%▼−11.70%×1.76

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed±23.6%▼−11.27%×0.48

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26±23.6%▼−11.27%×0.48

Q2 FY26±6.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 close

4.06OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

2,922+1%Nov 66d1.002,924+2%1.00

2,144−2%Nov 1313d3.386340%3.38

20,1980%Nov 2020d3.046,636−1%3.04

382+2288%Nov 2727d0.75508+8367%0.75

208+54%Dec 434d1.44144+43%1.44

11,8030%Dec 1848d4.892,413+5%4.89

125,619+8%Jan 1576d1.01124,317+7%1.01

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 66d2,922+1%2,924+2%1.00

Nov 1313d2,144−2%6340%3.38

Nov 2020d20,1980%6,636

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±30.4%

Funds 4

VNQ±0.0%

REVS±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−1.84%as filednet margin · revenue +4.45% QoQ · +12.08% YoY

Revenue$124M+4.45%

Pre-tax income$8M+2632.98%

Net income−$2M−1.84%−106.91%

Tax$10M+130.70%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.38· ±3.2% vs ±2.3% · 20 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±3.2%6 of 20×1.38

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.5%4 of 20×1.07

CPIconsumer prices±2.2%5 of 11×0.93

FOMCrate decision±2.1%6 of 25×0.92

PPIproducer prices±1.7%4 of 11×0.72

NFPjobs report±1.5%2 of 10×0.63

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%4 of 12×0.46

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.01 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.01	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod