What move does the options market price into Monster Beverage's report?

Implied ±5.0%, either direction.

How often does Monster Beverage move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MNSTNasdaqBottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters

Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

47.41

Closed18:34 ET

Open47.31Volume13.3MMkt cap$92.7BP/E43.59

Day46.87 – 47.7164%52-wk32.94 – 50.1784%

MNST

Monster Beverage Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±4.8%·×1.04·fair

44.9749.71

straddle ±6.9%

spot 47.34exp Nov 20ATM strike 47ATM straddle 3.82IV 42%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 5 days

confirmedQ3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.04%

vs ±6.0% implied · ×0.68

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dKO · supplierCoca-Cola posts Q3 net income $4,009 million, revenue $13,380 million, EPS $0.93
3dAKO-A · customerAndina Bottling posts 3Q26 net sales CLP 896,609 million and adjusted EBITDA CLP 149,289 million
5dKOF · customerCoca-Cola FEMSA posts 3Q26 revenue Ps. 79,718 million and operating income Ps. 11,874 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.54%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

1,374 managers

Top fund weight

4.45%

MNST weight · XLP

N-PORTJun 30 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Monster Beverage (MNST) reports on Nov 5 after close (confirmed date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.8%
avg realized: ±4.8%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±6.8%▼−1.08%×0.16

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±5.8%▲+5.26%×0.90

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±4.9%▲+1.43%×0.29

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+6.40%×1.37

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±6.4%▲+5.16%×0.81

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±6.3%▼−1.57%×0.25

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±5.4%▲+13.58%×2.52

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±6.0%▼−4.04%×0.68

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.0%▼−4.04%×0.68

May '26±5.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.68OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,6160%Nov 2020d6,810+1%

12,0280%Dec 1848d1.0711,2470%1.07

15,7640%Jan 1576d0.8418,700−1%0.84

6,5520%Mar 19139d1.683,8970%1.68

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d4,6160%6,810+1%0.68

Dec 1848d12,0280%11,2470%1.07

Jan 1576d15,7640%18,700−1%0.84

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±6.9%

Funds 4

XLP±0.3%

FTC±0.1%

QQQ±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

Customers 1

KO±2.1%×0.31

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

23.04%as filednet margin · revenue +7.83% QoQ · +20.17% YoY

Revenue

$2.5B+7.83% QoQ

Monster Energy Drinks $2.4B

Strategic Brands $144M

Alcohol Brands $32M

All Other Segments $5M

Gross profit

$1.4B+9.76% QoQ

55.95% margin

Operating income

$740M+1.44% QoQ

29.18% margin

Pre-tax income

$768M+2.42% QoQ

Net income

$585M+2.64% QoQ

23.04% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+5.46% QoQ

Operating expenses

$679M+20.55% QoQ

Tax

$184M+1.71% QoQ

Other income

$28M+37.96% QoQ

Revenue$2.5B+7.83%

Monster Energy Drinks $2.4B · Strategic Brands $144M

Gross profit

$1.4B+9.76%

55.95% margin

Operating income

$740M+1.44%

29.18% margin

Pre-tax income

$768M+2.42%

Net income

$585M+2.64%

23.04% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+5.46%

Operating expenses

$679M+20.55%

Other income$28M+37.96%

Tax$184M+1.71%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 18:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.38· ±2.5% vs ±1.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.5%7 of 10×2.38

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%11 of 19×1.25

PPIproducer prices±1.2%5 of 10×1.08

FOMCrate decision±1.1%11 of 24×1.02

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%8 of 10×0.87

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.76

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%11 of 19×0.71

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.59 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	0.59	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	0.58	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	0.53	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod