What move does the options market price into Louisiana-Pacific's report?

Implied ±6.0%, either direction.

LPXNYSELumber & Wood Products (No Furniture)

Louisiana-Pacific Corp (LPX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

73.34

−0.12 · −0.17%

post 73.36 +0.03%

Closed16:00 ET

Open74.09Volume1.3MMkt cap$5.1BP/E92.86EPS0.79Div yield1.61%

Day72.39 – 74.0957%52-wk62.18 – 99.1530%

LPX

Louisiana-Pacific Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±6.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±5.1%·×1.19·rich

68.8877.74

straddle ±8.1%

spot 73.31exp Nov 20ATM strike 75ATM straddle 6.95IV 48%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.72%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

54dBXC · customerBlueLinx (BXC) Quietly Turns A Lumber Slump Into Profit

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.53%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

420 managers

Top fund weight

0.14%

LPX weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

—≥ implied

Nov 5 '24Nov 5 '24confirmed—▲+7.28%—

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed—▼−10.13%—

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed—▲+3.29%—

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed—▼−1.81%—

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed—▼−8.38%—

Feb 17 '26Feb 17 '26confirmed—▼−5.08%—

Q1 FY26May 6 '26confirmed—▲+3.93%—

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed—▲+0.72%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+0.72%—

Q1 FY26—▲+3.93%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.29OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3490%Nov 2019d1,215+19%

5—Dec 1847d0.01507+16800%0.01

8140%Feb 19110d2.47329+2%2.47

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d3490%1,215+19%0.29

Dec 1847d5—507+16800%0.01

Feb 19110d8140%329+2%2.47

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.1%

Funds 3

MDY±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 1

BXC±7.1%×0.88

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

3.92%as filednet margin · revenue +15.68% QoQ · −12.05% YoY

Revenue

$664M+15.68% QoQ

Gross profit

$116M+0.87% QoQ

17.47% margin

Operating income

$31M−8.82% QoQ

4.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$34M−5.56% QoQ

Net income

$26M−3.70% QoQ

3.92% margin

Cost of revenue

$549M+19.61% QoQ

Operating expenses

$85M+6.25% QoQ

SG&A $80M

Other operating $5M

Tax

$8M−11.11% QoQ

Other income

$3M+200.00% QoQ

Revenue$664M+15.68%

Gross profit

$116M+0.87%

17.47% margin

Operating income

$31M−8.82%

4.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$34M−5.56%

Net income

$26M−3.70%

3.92% margin

Cost of revenue

$549M+19.61%

Operating expenses

$85M+6.25%

SG&A $80M

Other operating $5M

Other income$3M+200.00%

Tax$8M−11.11%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.33· ±2.3% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.3%13 of 24×1.33

NFPjobs report±2.2%6 of 10×1.27

PPIproducer prices±2.1%4 of 10×1.21

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%3 of 10×1.00

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%8 of 19×0.74

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%9 of 19×0.70

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%6 of 12×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.38 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.38	—
Q1 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.39	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod