What move does the options market price into Lowes Companies's report?

Implied ±5.0%, either direction.

How often does Lowes Companies move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

LOWNYSERetail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers

Lowes Companies Inc (LOW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

209.13

+1.85 · +0.89%

post 208.50 −0.30%

Closed19:48 ET

Open209.00Volume4.3MMkt cap$117.3BP/E17.61EPS11.84Div yield2.34%

Day207.77 – 210.2529%52-wk177.33 – 288.0428%

LOW

Lowes Companies Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±2.7%·×1.86·rich

198.70219.44

straddle ±6.6%

spot 209.07exp Nov 20ATM strike 210ATM straddle 16.30IV 41%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 18

before open · in 17 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.02%

vs ±3.6% implied · ×0.56

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 19 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

20.90%

of Hillman Solutions revenue

supplierHLMN 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.96%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

2,654 managers

Top fund weight

3.07%

LOW weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Lowes Companies (LOW) is expected to report on Nov 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.5%
avg realized: ±2.7%

Nov 19 '24Nov 19 '24confirmed±3.2%▼−4.60%×1.42

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±3.7%▲+1.93%×0.52

May 21 '25May 21 '25confirmed±3.3%▼−1.68%×0.50

Aug 20 '25Aug 20 '25confirmed±3.1%▲+0.30%×0.10

Q3 FY25Nov 19 '25confirmed±3.3%▲+4.03%×1.21

Feb 25 '26Feb 25 '26confirmed±3.3%▼−5.59%×1.68

Q1 FY26May 20 '26confirmed±4.0%▲+1.23%×0.31

Q2 FY26Aug 19 '26confirmed±3.6%▲+2.02%×0.56

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±3.6%▲+2.02%×0.56

Q1 FY26±4.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.95OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

779+69%Nov 65d0.99786+62%0.99

1,037+25%Nov 1312d0.611,704+14%0.61

report · Nov 18 · before open · est.

11,184+4%Nov 2019d5,736+13%

654+232%Nov 2726d1.07611+160%1.07

26+117%Dec 433d1.1822+144%1.18

5 later expiries

4—Dec 1140d0.2516—0.25

12,8880%Dec 1847d1.38

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d779+69%786+62%0.99

Nov 1312d1,037+25%1,704+14%0.61

report · Nov 18 · before open · est.

Nov 2019d11,184+4%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±6.6%

Funds 4

XLY±0.2%

JEPI±0.1%

VIG±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

Suppliers 4

MBC±7.5%×1.13

TREX±6.8%×1.02

SWK±6.7%×1.01

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

9.24%as filednet margin · revenue +12.47% QoQ · +8.34% YoY

Revenue

$26.0B+12.47% QoQ

Gross profit

$8.6B+13.71% QoQ

33.04% margin

Operating income

$3.5B+38.96% QoQ

13.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.2B+47.33% QoQ

Net income

$2.4B+47.36% QoQ

9.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$17.4B+11.87% QoQ

Operating expenses

$5.0B+0.78% QoQ

SG&A $4.5B

Depreciation $572M

Other operating $0

Other expense

$374M

Tax

$776M+47.25% QoQ

Revenue$26.0B+12.47%

Gross profit

$8.6B+13.71%

33.04% margin

Operating income

$3.5B+38.96%

13.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.2B+47.33%

Net income

$2.4B+47.36%

9.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$17.4B+11.87%

Operating expenses

$5.0B+0.78%

SG&A $4.5B

Depreciation $572M

Other operating $0

Other expense

$374M

Tax$776M+47.25%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jul 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.38· ±1.6% vs ±1.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.6%6 of 10×1.38

FOMCrate decision±1.5%9 of 24×1.31

PPIproducer prices±1.2%7 of 10×0.99

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%11 of 19×0.93

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%3 of 10×0.75

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%10 of 19×0.71

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%7 of 12×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.27 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 19 '26 · confirmed	4.27	—
Q1 FY26	May 20 '26 · confirmed	2.90	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 19 '25 · confirmed	2.88	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod