What move does the options market price into Ingredion's report?

Implied ±4.4%, either direction.

INGRNYSEGrain Mill Products

Ingredion Inc (INGR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

97.08

+1.49 · +1.56%

post 97.08 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open95.58Volume761,833Mkt cap$6.1BP/E10.42EPS9.32Div yield3.39%

Day95.58 – 97.6971%52-wk92.81 – 120.4815%

INGR

Ingredion Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±4.4%implied · report alone

92.67101.27

straddle ±5.8%

spot 96.97exp Nov 20ATM strike 95ATM straddle 6.63IV 35%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structurethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

before open · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.19%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−4.86%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

613 managers

Top fund weight

0.16%

INGR weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ingredion (INGR) is expected to report on Nov 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed—▲+4.19%—

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+4.19%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.88OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

169+12%Nov 2021d1910%

39+77%Dec 1849d2.7914+40%2.79

4700%Jan 1577d1.283670%1.28

67+3%Apr 16168d1.06630%1.06

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2021d169+12%1910%0.88

Dec 1849d39+77%14+40%2.79

Jan 1577d4700%3670%1.28

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±5.8%

Funds 4

MDY±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

6.27%as filednet margin · revenue +3.24% QoQ · +0.93% YoY

Revenue

$1.9B+3.24% QoQ

Gross profit

$426M+6.23% QoQ

23.03% margin

Operating income

$188M−7.39% QoQ

10.16% margin

Pre-tax income

$175M−9.79% QoQ

Net income

$116M−19.44% QoQ

6.27% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+2.37% QoQ

Operating expenses

$238M+20.20% QoQ

SG&A $207M

Other operating $31M

Other expense

$13M

Tax

$59M+18.00% QoQ

Revenue$1.9B+3.24%

Gross profit

$426M+6.23%

23.03% margin

Operating income

$188M−7.39%

10.16% margin

Pre-tax income

$175M−9.79%

Net income

$116M−19.44%

6.27% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+2.37%

Operating expenses

$238M+20.20%

SG&A $207M

Other operating $31M

Other expense

$13M

Tax$59M+18.00%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.13· ±1.0% vs ±0.9% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.0%6 of 11×1.13

FOMCrate decision±1.0%6 of 24×1.11

NFPjobs report±0.9%8 of 10×1.01

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%5 of 12×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 11×0.73

GDPgross domestic product±0.6%9 of 19×0.68

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.5%11 of 19×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±1% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.78 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	1.78	—
Q1 FY26	—	2.22	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod