What move does the options market price into Robinhood Markets's report?

Implied ±5.3%, either direction.

How often does Robinhood Markets move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HOODNasdaqSecurity Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

84.92

−6.67 · −7.29%

post 85.44 +0.62%

Closed19:59 ET

Open86.18Volume27.8MMkt cap$76.5BP/E38.84EPS2.20

Day82.24 – 86.6772%52-wk63.52 – 150.4725%

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.3%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±6.6%·×0.81·cheap

80.4589.53

straddle ±22.8%

spot 84.99exp Feb 19ATM strike 85ATM straddle 22.80IV 61%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 8

after close · in 100 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.31%

vs ±7.6% implied · ×0.44

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAMZN · supplierAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout
1dV · supplierSecret SantAI? Visa Survey Finds Americans Quietly Turning to AI for Holiday Shopping Help
2dMIAX · supplierMiami International Holdings Q3 net revenue $131.0 million; GAAP diluted EPS $0.47; adjusted $0.45

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.50%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

1,404 managers

Top fund weight

3.64%

HOOD weight · ARKK

N-PORTJul 31 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is expected to report on Feb 8 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.6%
avg realized: ±6.6%

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±7.6%▼−2.87%×0.38

Oct 31 '25Oct 31 '25confirmed±8.6%▲+0.20%×0.02

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±6.8%▼−10.81%×1.59

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±5.3%▼−9.62%×1.81

Feb 10 '26Feb 10 '26confirmed±8.9%▼−8.91%×1.00

Q1 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±7.9%▼−13.24%×1.67

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±8.1%▼−3.61%×0.44

Q3 FY26Oct 27 '26confirmed±7.6%▼−3.31%×0.44

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.6%▼−3.31%×0.44

Q2 FY26±8.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.93OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6 nearer expiries

35,960+7%Nov 66d0.5268,960+32%0.52

17,7710%Nov 1313d0.6228,827+15%0.62

121,818−1%Nov 2020d0.85143,721+1%0.85

12,827+146%Nov 2727d0.8714,819+117%0.87

5,784+66%Dec 434d0.747,800+32%0.74

175—Dec 1141d0.84209—0.84

99,523+5%Dec 1848d0.75132,222+9%0.75

171,420+2%Jan 1576d0.77222,298+1%0.77

report · Feb 8 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

6 nearer expiries

Nov 66d35,960+7%68,960+32%0.52

Nov 1313d17,7710%28,827+15%0.62

Nov 2020d121,818−1%143,721

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±22.8%

Funds 4

ARKK±0.8%

XLF±0.2%

FTC±0.1%

VUG±0.1%

Suppliers 4

GPGI±6.0%×0.26

AMZN±4.2%×0.19

NDAQ±3.2%×0.14

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

32.87%as filednet margin · revenue +8.87% QoQ · +11.77% YoY

Revenue

$1.4B+8.87% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.4B+8.07% QoQ

95.01% margin

Operating income

$685M+19.34% QoQ

48.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$625M−11.85% QoQ

Net income

$468M−16.58% QoQ

32.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$71M+26.79% QoQ

Operating expenses

$668M−1.47% QoQ

R&D $254M

SG&A $242M

Marketing $104M

Other operating $68M

Other expense

$60M

Tax

$149M+9.56% QoQ

Revenue$1.4B+8.87%

Gross profit

$1.4B+8.07%

95.01% margin

Operating income

$685M+19.34%

48.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$625M−11.85%

Net income

$468M−16.58%

32.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$71M+26.79%

Operating expenses

$668M−1.47%

R&D $254M

SG&A $242M

Marketing $104M

Other expense

$60M

Tax$149M+9.56%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.16· ±3.7% vs ±3.2% · 25 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.7%13 of 25×1.16

PPIproducer prices±3.6%5 of 11×1.14

NFPjobs report±3.5%5 of 10×1.08

CPROFcorporate profits±3.0%4 of 12×0.92

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%7 of 11×0.88

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%8 of 20×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%9 of 20×0.79

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.51 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 27 '26 · confirmed	0.51	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.62	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	0.38	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod