Robinhood Markets, Inc. · Brief

Next report

100 days

Feb 8 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±5.3%implied · report alone

80.4589.53

straddle ±22.8%

spot 84.99exp Feb 19ATM strike 85ATM straddle 22.80IV 61%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.6%
avg realized: ±6.6%

Jul 30 '25±7.6%▼−2.87%×0.38

Oct 31 '25±8.6%▲+0.20%×0.02

Nov 5 '25±6.8%▼−10.81%×1.59

Jan 30 '26±5.3%▼−9.62%×1.81

Feb 10 '26±8.9%▼−8.91%×1.00

Q1 FY26±7.9%▼−13.24%×1.67

Q2 FY26±8.1%▼−3.61%×0.44

Q3 FY26±7.6%▼−3.31%×0.44

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.6%▼−3.31%×0.44

Q2 FY26±8.1%▼−3.61%×0.44

Q1 FY26±7.9%▼−13.24%×1.67

Feb '26±8.9%▼−8.91%×1.00

Jan '26±5.3%▼−9.62%×1.81

Nov '25±6.8%▼−10.81%×1.59

2 older reports

Oct '25±8.6%▲+0.20%×0.02

Jul '25±7.6%▼−2.87%×0.38

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Feb 8 report · est.

—

Linked exposure

HOOD report session

Suppliers 4

GPGIGpgi×0.26 AMZNAmazon Web Services×0.19 NDAQNasdaq×0.14 MORNMorningstar×0.12

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 13impliedImplied move: ±10.3% into Oct 27 earnings (Oct 13 close).Source

Oct 1report dateEarnings date confirmed: Oct 27, after close.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.