How often does Horace Mann Educators move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HMNNYSEFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Horace Mann Educators Corp (HMN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

49.49

+2.02 · +4.25%

Regular session10:40 ET

Open48.52Volume324,040Mkt cap$1.9BP/E11.46EPS4.32Div yield3.01%

Day48.52 – 49.49100%52-wk40.62 – 55.1661%

HMN

Horace Mann Educators Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 2

after close · in 90 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 3

after close

confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

77dAII · supplierAmerican Integrity Insurance (AII) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.96%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

259 managers

Top fund weight

0.07%

HMN weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Horace Mann Educators (HMN) is expected to report on Feb 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.3%
avg realized: ±3.1%

Nov 4 '24Nov 4 '24confirmed±11.6%▲+5.06%×0.44

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+5.12%×0.48

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±10.7%▲+0.24%×0.02

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±11.4%▲+2.50%×0.22

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±9.6%▲+3.34%×0.35

Feb 3 '26Feb 3 '26confirmed±8.4%▼−3.76%×0.45

Q1 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±10.6%▼−1.10%×0.10

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±9.4%▲+3.88%×0.41

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.4%▲+3.88%×0.41

Q1 FY26±10.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

30%Nov 2016d0.0934+10%0.09

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

0—Feb 19107d20%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d30%34+10%0.09

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

Feb 19107d0—20%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

9.59%as filednet margin · revenue +3.36% QoQ · +7.64% YoY

Revenue$434M+3.36%

Pre-tax income$49M−2.39%

Net income$42M9.59%+0.97%

Tax$7M−17.78%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.48· ±1.6% vs ±1.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.6%3 of 10×1.48

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%3 of 10×1.06

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×0.98

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 19×0.81

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%7 of 12×0.80

PPIproducer prices±0.9%5 of 10×0.79

FOMCrate decision±0.8%13 of 24×0.77

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.01 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.01	—
Q1 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	1.00	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	1.40	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod