What move does the options market price into GigaCloud Technology's report?

Implied ±9.8%, either direction.

How often does GigaCloud Technology move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GCTNasdaqRetail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

GigaCloud Technology Inc (GCT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

54.80

−2.66 · −4.62%

post 54.60 −0.37%

Closed17:18 ET

Open57.64Volume496,335Mkt cap$2.1BP/E12.97EPS4.21

Day54.28 – 58.218%52-wk25.39 – 62.0380%

GCT

GigaCloud Technology Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±17.9%·×0.55·cheap

49.3760.07

straddle ±13.3%

spot 54.72exp Nov 20ATM strike 55ATM straddle 8.55IV 90%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+13.32%

vs ±14.8% implied · ×0.90

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+20.59%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

220 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

GCT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

GigaCloud Technology (GCT) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.1%
avg realized: ±17.9%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±13.4%▲+17.25%×1.29

Mar 3 '25Mar 3 '25confirmed±16.6%▼−3.00%×0.18

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±11.3%▲+11.38%×1.01

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±13.1%▲+30.52%×2.33

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±14.7%▲+30.05%×2.04

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±14.8%▲+33.05%×2.23

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±14.1%▼−4.78%×0.34

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±14.8%▲+13.32%×0.90

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Q2 FY26±14.8%▲+13.32%×0.90

May '26±14.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.40OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,154+1%Nov 2016d5,4300%

97+33%Dec 1844d0.80122+5%0.80

1,9470%Jan 1572d0.277,1330%0.27

220+106%Apr 16163d0.693190%0.69

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d2,154+1%5,4300%0.40

Dec 1844d97+33%122+5%0.80

Jan 1572d1,9470%7,1330%0.27

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.3%

Funds 2

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

10.28%as filednet margin · revenue +14.51% QoQ · +27.60% YoY

Revenue

$412M+14.51% QoQ

Gross profit

$106M+22.96% QoQ

25.64% margin

Operating income

$48M+11.85% QoQ

11.54% margin

Pre-tax income

$50M+8.69% QoQ

Net income

$42M+11.05% QoQ

10.28% margin

Cost of revenue

$306M+11.86% QoQ

Operating expenses

$58M+33.85% QoQ

Marketing $36M

SG&A $19M

R&D $3M

Tax

$8M−2.81% QoQ

Other income

$2M−37.23% QoQ

Revenue$412M+14.51%

Gross profit

$106M+22.96%

25.64% margin

Operating income

$48M+11.85%

11.54% margin

Pre-tax income

$50M+8.69%

Net income

$42M+11.05%

10.28% margin

Cost of revenue

$306M+11.86%

Operating expenses

$58M+33.85%

Marketing $36M

SG&A $19M

R&D $3M

Other income$2M−37.23%

Tax$8M−2.81%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×0.78· ±2.8% vs ±3.6% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.8%5 of 11×0.78

FOMCrate decision±2.8%14 of 25×0.77

NFPjobs report±2.7%6 of 10×0.75

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%7 of 20×0.70

CPROFcorporate profits±2.4%5 of 12×0.66

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.3%7 of 20×0.62

CPIconsumer prices±2.2%6 of 11×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.16 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	1.16	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	1.04	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	0.99	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod