What move does the options market price into Flutter Entertainment's report?

Implied ±9.4%, either direction.

FLUTNYSEServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

82.66

+3.47 · +4.38%

post 82.49 −0.21%

Closed19:35 ET

Open79.02Volume2.4MMkt cap$14.3BEPS-4.26

Day79.02 – 82.6695%52-wk72.56 – 235.776%

FLUT

Flutter Entertainment plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.4%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±6.7%·×1.41·rich

74.8090.38

straddle ±12.7%

spot 82.59exp Nov 20ATM strike 85ATM straddle 12.30IV 76%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 11

after close · in 12 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−11.48%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dBYD · supplierBoyd Gaming posts Q3 net income $124,933 thousand, EPS $1.71; 9M net $361,709 thousand, EPS $4.83
3dCME · supplierCME Group Brazilian Real Futures Set New Daily Volume Record Following Election

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.98%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

412 managers

Top fund weight

0.19%

FLUT weight · FTC

N-PORTJul 31 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) is expected to report on Nov 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

—≥ implied

Jan 7 '25Jan 7 '25confirmed—▲+1.60%—

Mar 4 '25Mar 4 '25confirmed—▲+1.44%—

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed—▼−0.48%—

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed—▼−8.32%—

Nov 12 '25Nov 12 '25confirmed—▼−14.27%—

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed—▼−13.80%—

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed—▲+2.11%—

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed—▼−11.48%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26—▼−11.48%—

May '26—▲+2.11%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.22OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,641+8%Nov 2021d3,799+12%

27,3890%Dec 1849d7.833,499+9%7.83

4,386+1%Jan 1577d0.459,817+1%0.45

8,246+633%Mar 19140d13.77599+52%13.77

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2021d4,641+8%3,799+12%1.22

Dec 1849d27,3890%3,499+9%7.83

Jan 1577d4,386+1%9,817+1%0.45

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±12.7%

Funds 4

FTC±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 1

ACEL±2.8%×0.22

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−6.84%as filednet margin · revenue +0.51% QoQ · +3.32% YoY

Revenue$4.3B+0.51%

Gross profit$1.7B39.60%−6.75%

Operating income−$144M−3.33%−282.28%

Pre-tax income−$299M−227.78%

Net income−$296M−6.84%−241.63%

Cost of revenue$2.6B+5.92%

Operating expenses$1.9B+5.63%

Tax−$3M−112.00%

Other expense−$155M−200.00%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.53· ±2.9% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±2.9%5 of 10×1.53

PPIproducer prices±2.7%3 of 10×1.43

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%9 of 19×0.91

NFPjobs report±1.5%2 of 10×0.81

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%6 of 12×0.74

FOMCrate decision±1.4%10 of 24×0.74

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%10 of 19×0.70

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.57 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-1.57	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	1.23	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod