What move does the options market price into Domino's Pizza's report?

Implied ±14.2%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Domino's Pizza move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DPZNasdaqWholesale-Groceries & Related Products

Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

340.60

+17.51 · +5.42%

post 339.74 −0.25%

Closed17:44 ET

Open323.39Volume489,472Mkt cap$10.6BP/E18.64EPS18.23Div yield2.39%

Day323.27 – 342.6285%52-wk280.27 – 434.7339%

DPZ

Domino's Pizza Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±14.2%implied · straddle

292.28389.10

spot 340.69exp Mar 19ATM strike 340ATM straddle 56.95IV 35%

Nov 4 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 22

before open · in 109 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.76%

vs ±5.2% implied · ×0.91

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

10hDASH · customerDoorDash CEO to Participate in Fireside Chat at TomorrowX Summit
11hUBER · supplierUber posts Q3 revenue $14,766 million, net income $569 million, diluted EPS $0.25

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+12.48%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

739 managers

Top fund weight

0.23%

DPZ weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is expected to report on Feb 22 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.6%
avg realized: ±3.3%

Feb 24 '25Feb 24 '25confirmed±5.9%▼−1.46%×0.25

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±5.9%▲+0.63%×0.11

Jul 21 '25Jul 21 '25confirmed±6.7%▼−0.80%×0.12

Oct 14 '25Oct 14 '25confirmed±5.5%▲+3.91%×0.71

Q1 FY26Feb 23 '26confirmed±7.0%▲+4.10%×0.59

Apr 27 '26Apr 27 '26confirmed±6.9%▼−8.84%×1.28

Q2 FY26Jul 20 '26confirmed±10.1%▲+2.11%×0.21

Q3 FY26Oct 13 '26confirmed±5.2%▼−4.76%×0.91

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.2%▼−4.76%×0.91

Q2 FY26±10.1%▲+2.11%×0.21

Apr '26±6.9%▼−8.84%×1.28

Q1 FY26±7.0%▲+4.10%×0.59

Oct '25±5.5%▲+3.91%×0.71

Jul '25±6.7%▼−0.80%×0.12

2 older reports

Apr '25±5.9%▲+0.63%×0.11

Feb '25±5.9%▼−1.46%×0.25

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

1.59OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,217−6%Nov 2015d1.351,646−1%1.35

3,052−1%Dec 1843d0.704,3600%0.70

3,451+3%Jan 1571d0.635,4520%0.63

report · Feb 22 · before open · est.

1,299+1%Mar 19134d8150%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d2,217−6%1,646−1%1.35

Dec 1843d3,052−1%4,3600%0.70

Jan 1571d3,451+3%5,4520%0.63

report · Feb 22 · before open · est.

Mar 19134d1,299+1%8150%1.59

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±14.2%

Funds 4

XLY±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

SPY±0.0%

Suppliers 1

KO±2.3%×0.16

Customers 1

UBER±4.7%×0.33

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

12.84%as filednet margin · revenue −0.74% QoQ · +3.36% YoY

Revenue

$1.2B−0.74% QoQ

Gross profit

$476M−0.39% QoQ

40.18% margin

Operating income

$242M+4.19% QoQ

20.39% margin

Pre-tax income

$195M+11.33% QoQ

Net income

$152M+12.10% QoQ

12.84% margin

Cost of revenue

$709M−0.97% QoQ

Operating expenses

$235M−4.70% QoQ

Marketing $129M

SG&A $106M

Other operating $206,000

Other expense

$47M

Tax

$43M+8.65% QoQ

Revenue$1.2B−0.74%

Gross profit

$476M−0.39%

40.18% margin

Operating income

$242M+4.19%

20.39% margin

Pre-tax income

$195M+11.33%

Net income

$152M+12.10%

12.84% margin

Cost of revenue

$709M−0.97%

Operating expenses

$235M−4.70%

Marketing $129M

SG&A $106M

Other operating $206,000

Other expense

$47M

Tax$43M+8.65%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 6 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.34· ±1.7% vs ±1.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.7%9 of 24×1.34

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%6 of 19×1.26

NFPjobs report±1.6%4 of 10×1.23

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%0 of 10×0.99

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%8 of 19×0.97

PPIproducer prices±1.1%4 of 10×0.86

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%3 of 12×0.68

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.60 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 13 '26 · confirmed	4.60	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 20 '26 · confirmed	4.07	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 23 '26 · confirmed	4.13	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod