What move does the options market price into DigitalOcean's report?

Implied ±10.8%, either direction.

How often does DigitalOcean move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DOCNNYSEServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (DOCN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

89.57

−10.40 · −10.40%

post 90.51 +1.05%

Closed19:56 ET

Open95.30Volume3.3MMkt cap$10.5BP/E36.06EPS2.51

Day86.87 – 95.3043%52-wk38.45 – 187.5035%

DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±14.3%·×0.75·cheap

79.9799.33

straddle ±14.2%

spot 89.65exp Nov 6ATM strike 90ATM straddle 15.00IV 151%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

before open · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.35%

vs ±17.2% implied · ×0.08

Linked news

1dNVDA · supplierNvidia’s Megaspeed ties show potential blind spots in the U.S. effort to block China from accessing advanced chips
2dAMD · supplierAMD’s stock slides after Intel earnings reveal two big issues

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.71%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

575 managers

Top fund weight

0.35%

DOCN weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

DigitalOcean (DOCN) is expected to report on Nov 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.3%
avg realized: ±14.3%

Apr 4 '25Apr 4 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−1.78%×0.16

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−13.77%×1.23

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±13.5%▲+28.88%×2.13

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±10.1%▲+18.01%×1.78

Feb 24 '26Feb 24 '26confirmed±13.2%▲+5.91%×0.45

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±13.6%▲+40.40%×2.96

Q2 FY26Jul 7 '26confirmed±8.5%▲+4.32%×0.51

Aug 4 '26Aug 4 '26confirmed±17.2%▲+1.35%×0.08

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Aug '26±17.2%▲+1.35%×0.08

Q2 FY26±8.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.72OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,041+32%Nov 65d5,609+91%

1,396+41%Nov 1312d0.245,865+1%0.24

6,275+8%Nov 2019d0.679,3690%0.67

188+69%Nov 2726d0.71265+62%0.71

19+111%Dec 433d4.7540%4.75

5 later expiries

1—Dec 1140d0.254—0.25

3,015+8%Dec 1847d0.44

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d4,041+32%5,609+91%0.72

Nov 1312d1,396+41%5,865+1%0.24

Nov 2019d6,275+8%9,3690%0.67

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±14.2%

Funds 3

MDY±0.0%

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

12.60%as filednet margin · revenue +9.03% QoQ · +28.57% YoY

Revenue

$281M+9.03% QoQ

Gross profit

$155M+6.88% QoQ

55.00% margin

Operating income

$29M−19.69% QoQ

10.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$27M+10.80% QoQ

Net income

$35M+124.70% QoQ

12.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$127M+11.77% QoQ

Operating expenses

$125M+15.86% QoQ

R&D $58M

SG&A $45M

Marketing $23M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit

$8M

Revenue$281M+9.03%

Gross profit

$155M+6.88%

55.00% margin

Operating income

$29M−19.69%

10.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$27M+10.80%

Net income

$35M+124.70%

12.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$127M+11.77%

Operating expenses

$125M+15.86%

R&D $58M

SG&A $45M

Marketing $23M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit$8M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×2.07· ±6.2% vs ±3.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±6.2%6 of 10×2.07

NFPjobs report±3.8%6 of 10×1.25

PPIproducer prices±3.4%4 of 10×1.12

GDPgross domestic product±2.9%7 of 19×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.8%10 of 19×0.93

FOMCrate decision±2.7%12 of 24×0.91

CPROFcorporate profits±2.3%5 of 12×0.76

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±3.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.29 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 7 '26 · confirmed	0.29	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	0.15	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	1.51	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod