CSX

CSX CORP

50.85^post−$0.18 (−0.35%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)

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as of 08:01:50 UTCnext report Oct 19 · 75d

Earnings Room‹ back to CSX

The report

fiscal Q3 2026 · from the company's notice

Oct 19after close75days out

Expected movement

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close

±9.3%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.

That span is 108days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.

expiry Nov 20 · first after the reportATM strike 50straddle 5.58ATM IV 25%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 50.85

Blast radius

7 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If CSX moves ±9.3% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are named by filings and their coefficient measured against two years of daily returns.

XLIfundState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF1.5% of the fund0.1%QQQfundInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 10.43% of the fund0.04%VIGfundVanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund0.38% of the fund0.04%VTVfundVanguard Value Index Fund0.31% of the fund0.03%RSPfundInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF0.22% of the fund0.02%SPYfundSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust0.14% of the fund0.01%TTAMcustomerTitan America SA×0.70 · 371 days6.5%

Positioning

Butterfly Ladder

No options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color

3/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±3.5% realized vs ±3.5% priced

Jul 22 '26±3.8%→+5.8%×1.51

Apr 22 '26±3.5%→+7.0%×1.99

Jan 22 '26±3.8%→+2.4%×0.63

Oct 16 '25±5.0%→+1.7%×0.34

Jul 23 '25±2.3%→+0.1%×0.04

Apr 16 '25±2.8%→+1.2%×0.44

Jan 23 '25±3.4%→−2.9%×0.85

Oct 16 '24±3.1%→−6.7%×2.16

pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied

2-quarter memory

Q2 FY26 · reported 0.54 · rev $3.9B

record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.