What move does the options market price into Credo Technology's report?

Implied ±12.6%, either direction.

How often does Credo Technology move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CRDONasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

112.95

pre 123.50 +9.94%

Pre-market04:59 ETdelayed

Open123.65Volume10.8MMkt cap$25.7BP/E41.44EPS2.98

Day123.50 – 125.040%52-wk86.49 – 308.6717%

CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±12.6%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±16.9%·×0.75·cheap

98.17126.49

straddle ±23.0%

spot 112.33exp Dec 4ATM strike 110ATM straddle 30.35IV 122%

Nov 5 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 2

after close · in 26 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−20.04%

vs ±13.8% implied · ×1.46

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 1 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

33.00%

of CRDO revenue · Customer D

customerCRDO 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−7.51%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

984 managers

Top fund weight

2.01%

CRDO weight · SOXX

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Credo Technology (CRDO) is expected to report on Dec 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.5%
avg realized: ±16.9%

Sep 4 '24Sep 4 '24confirmed±16.5%▼−14.86%×0.90

Dec 2 '24Dec 2 '24confirmed±19.9%▲+47.89%×2.40

Mar 4 '25Mar 4 '25confirmed±21.2%▼−13.97%×0.66

Jun 2 '25Jun 2 '25confirmed±15.2%▲+14.80%×0.98

Q2 FY26Sep 3 '25confirmed±11.6%▲+7.40%×0.64

Q3 FY26Mar 2 '26confirmed±10.0%▼−14.81%×1.48

Q4 FY26Jun 1 '26confirmed±15.6%▲+1.28%×0.08

Q1 FY27Sep 1 '26confirmed±13.8%▼−20.04%×1.46

quarterimplied−50%0+50%realized×

Q1 FY27±13.8%▼−20.04%×1.46

Q4 FY26±15.6%▲+1.28%×0.08

Q3 FY26±10.0%▼−14.81%×1.48

Q2 FY26±11.6%▲+7.40%×0.64

Jun '25±15.2%▲+14.80%×0.98

Mar '25±21.2%▼−13.97%×0.66

2 older reports

Dec '24±19.9%▲+47.89%×2.40

Sep '24±16.5%▼−14.86%×0.90

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 11 expiries · Nov 4 close

1.02OI · 11 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Dec 4 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2 nearer expiries

9,026+2%Nov 60d0.7512,095+22%0.75

5,788+12%Nov 137d1.563,712+18%1.56

35,0180%Nov 2014d1.0533,3380%1.05

3,389+4%Nov 2721d1.322,564+7%1.32

report · Dec 2 · after close · est.

595+57%Dec 428d582+213%

853+7%Dec 1135d2.09409+238%2.09

14,701+24%Dec 1842d1.0314,258+3%1.03

4 later expiries

30,588−1%Jan 1570d0.8735,188+1%0.87

6,0960%Feb 19105d0.976,2840%0.97

10,502+11%Mar 19133d1.318,042+21%1.31

1,366+1%Apr 16161d2.75496+3%2.75

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

2 nearer expiries

Nov 60d9,026+2%12,095+22%0.75

Nov 137d5,788+12%3,712+18%1.56

Nov 2014d35,0180%33,3380%1.05

Nov 2721d3,389+4%2,564+7%1.32

report · Dec 2 · after close · est.

Dec 428d595+57%582+213%1.02

Dec 1135d853+7%409+238%2.09

Dec 1842d14,701+24%14,258+3%1.03

4 later expiries

Jan 1570d30,588−1%35,188+1%0.87

Feb 19105d6,0960%6,2840%0.97

Mar 19133d10,502+11%8,042+21%1.31

Apr 16161d1,366+1%496+3%2.75

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±23.0%

Funds 4

SOXX±0.5%

SOXL±0.3%

FTC±0.2%

IGPT±0.1%

Suppliers 3

AMKR±7.5%×0.33

ASX±6.5%×0.28

TSM±5.4%

Customers 2

ORCL±5.9%×0.26

MSFT±1.7%×0.08

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

27.02%as filednet margin · revenue +9.61% QoQ · +114.73% YoY

Revenue

$479M+9.61% QoQ

Gross profit

$309M+3.69% QoQ

64.53% margin

Operating income

$121M−22.55% QoQ

25.20% margin

Pre-tax income

$129M−23.30% QoQ

Net income

$129M−23.46% QoQ

27.02% margin

Cost of revenue

$170M+22.30% QoQ

Operating expenses

$188M+32.45% QoQ

R&D $115M

SG&A $74M

Other income

$8M−32.93% QoQ

Tax benefit

$585,000

Revenue$479M+9.61%

Gross profit

$309M+3.69%

64.53% margin

Operating income

$121M−22.55%

25.20% margin

Pre-tax income

$129M−23.30%

Net income

$129M−23.46%

27.02% margin

Cost of revenue

$170M+22.30%

Operating expenses

$188M+32.45%

R&D $115M

SG&A $74M

Other income$8M−32.93%

Tax benefit$585,000

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Aug 1 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 5 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 04:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.24· ±5.0% vs ±4.0% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.0%2 of 11×1.24

NFPjobs report±4.4%5 of 10×1.10

GDPgross domestic product±4.4%9 of 20×1.09

CPIconsumer prices±4.3%7 of 11×1.08

FOMCrate decision±4.0%16 of 24×1.01

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.7%6 of 20×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±2.5%5 of 12×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±4.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.67 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Sep 1 '26 · confirmed	0.67	—
Q4 FY26	Jun 1 '26 · confirmed	0.91	—
Q3 FY26	Mar 2 '26 · confirmed	0.82	—
Q2 FY26	Sep 3 '25 · confirmed	0.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod