COST

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW

951.86^post+$4.01 (+0.42%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)

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as of 08:30:43 UTCnext report Oct 8 · 64d

Earnings Room‹ back to COST

The report

fiscal Q4 2026 · from the company's notice

Oct 864days out

Expected movement

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close

±7.5%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.

That span is 73days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.

expiry Oct 16 · first after the reportATM strike 950straddle 83.65ATM IV 25%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 951.86

Blast radius

6 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If COST moves ±7.5% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.

XLPfundState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF9.6% of the fund0.7%QQQfundInvesco QQQ Trust, Series 12.5% of the fund0.2%VIGfundVanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund2.0% of the fund0.2%VUGfundVanguard Growth Index Fund1.5% of the fund0.1%SPYfundSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust0.79% of the fund0.06%VOOfundVanguard 500 Index Fund0.79% of the fund0.06%

Positioning

8 expiries · as of the Jul 31 close

Contracts already committed, not just traded today — puts against calls, sized by expiry. The tick is today's volume moving against that stance; the arrow, how much built up since the prior session.

OI ΔPutsOI

Expiry

OICallsOI Δ

first

28.1k

Aug 7

15.2k

first

13.6k

Aug 14

14d

7.7k

first

8.4k

Aug 28

28d

2.6k

first

4.4k

Sep 4

35d

1.2k

first

22.2k

Sep 18

49d

17.9k

first

7.0k

Oct 16

77d

6.5k

first

9.6k

Dec 18

140d

8.4k

first

20.2k

Jan 15

168d

20.9k

first

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color

3/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±2.4% realized vs ±2.9% priced

Q3 FY26±2.5%→−3.9%×1.56

Mar 5 '26±2.4%→+1.6%×0.66

Dec 11 '25±2.7%→+0.0%×0.00

Sep 25 '25±2.9%→−2.9%×0.98

May 29 '25±2.6%→+3.1%×1.19

Mar 6 '25±3.5%→−6.1%×1.76

Dec 12 '24±2.8%→+0.1%×0.04

Sep 26 '24±3.5%→−1.8%×0.50

pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied

2-quarter memory

Q3 FY26 · reported 4.93 · rev $70.5B

record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.