What move does the options market price into Coinbase Global's report?

Implied ±24.7%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Coinbase Global move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

COINNasdaqFinance Services

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

136.39

−7.15 · −4.98%

Regular session14:53 ET

Open140.27Volume20.9MMkt cap$38.0BEPS-2.79

Day136.37 – 140.271%52-wk136.89 – 361.400%

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±24.7%implied · straddle

108.14178.94

spot 143.54exp Feb 19ATM strike 145ATM straddle 41.65IV 66%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

after close · in 101 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−10.62%

vs ±5.9% implied · ×1.79

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

6hMSTR · customerStrategy sells 1,178,552 MSTR for $164.0 million, buys 811 BTC
3dAXP · supplierAmerican Express issues $1,500,000,000 5.447% and $1,150,000,000 5.817% notes; $350,000,000 floating
5dSKYA · customerSkyAI: Bastion to tender 4,649,745 shares, 4,234,615 pre-funded and 5,384,615 stapled warrants

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.69%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

1,126 managers

Top fund weight

4.17%

COIN weight · ARKK

N-PORTJul 31 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Coinbase Global (COIN) is expected to report on Feb 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.7%
avg realized: ±9.3%

Feb 13 '25Feb 13 '25confirmed±7.9%▼−7.98%×1.01

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−3.48%×0.61

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±5.5%▼−16.70%×3.06

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+4.65%×0.82

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±7.2%▲+16.46%×2.28

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±6.4%▲+4.25%×0.66

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±9.1%▼−10.59%×1.16

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±5.9%▼−10.62%×1.79

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.9%▼−10.62%×1.79

Q2 FY26±9.1%▼−10.59%×1.16

Q1 FY26±6.4%▲+4.25%×0.66

Feb '26±7.2%▲+16.46%×2.28

Oct '25±5.7%▲+4.65%×0.82

Jul '25±5.5%▼−16.70%×3.06

2 older reports

May '25±5.7%▼−3.48%×0.61

Feb '25±7.9%▼−7.98%×1.01

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.37OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6 nearer expiries

22,025+8%Nov 64d1.5514,207+19%1.55

11,293+2%Nov 1311d1.348,410+3%1.34

49,2000%Nov 2018d0.7070,1360%0.70

1,910+149%Nov 2725d0.702,713+103%0.70

414+38%Dec 432d1.22339+9%1.22

32—Dec 1139d0.3398—0.33

62,274−1%Dec 1846d0.7583,293+8%0.75

83,573+2%Jan 1574d0.73114,5140%0.73

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

16,2580%Feb 19109d11,863+3%

18,8290%Mar 19137d0.7026,795+3%0.70

10,552+9%Apr 16165d2.594,0820%2.59

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

6 nearer expiries

Nov 64d22,025+8%14,207+19%1.55

Nov 1311d11,293+2%8,410+3%1.34

Nov 2018d49,2000%70,1360%0.70

Nov 2725d1,910+149%2,713+103%0.70

Dec 432d414+38%339+9%1.22

Dec 1139d32—98—0.33

Dec 1846d62,274−1%83,293+8%0.75

Jan 1574d83,573+2%114,5140%0.73

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

Feb 19109d16,2580%11,863+3%1.37

Mar 19137d18,8290%26,795+3%0.70

Apr 16165d10,552+9%4,0820%2.59

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±24.7%

Funds 4

ARKK±1.0%

BCOR±0.8%

XLF±0.1%

RSP±0.0%

Customers 4

CLSK±19.0%×0.77

RIOT±17.5%×0.71

KULR±11.1%×0.45

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

59.12%as filednet margin · revenue −0.37% QoQ · −34.95% YoY

Revenue

$1.2B−0.37% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.2B−0.37% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$62M+154.34% QoQ

5.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$824M+308.37% QoQ

Net income

$719M+299.93% QoQ

59.12% margin

Operating expenses

$1.2B−13.47% QoQ

R&D $447M

SG&A $319M

Marketing $243M

Other operating $145M

Tax

$105M+392.70% QoQ

Other income

$762M+370.37% QoQ

Revenue$1.2B−0.37%

Gross profit

$1.2B−0.37%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$62M+154.34%

5.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$824M+308.37%

Net income

$719M+299.93%

59.12% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$1.2B−13.47%

R&D $447M

SG&A $319M

Marketing $243M

Other income$762M+370.37%

Tax$105M+392.70%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mVolume ×0.33 · 20d avgSource: market data · 14:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.13· ±4.1% vs ±3.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.1%4 of 10×1.13

FOMCrate decision±3.9%11 of 24×1.07

CPIconsumer prices±3.5%6 of 11×0.97

PPIproducer prices±3.4%6 of 11×0.93

CPROFcorporate profits±3.1%2 of 12×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.8%8 of 20×0.75

GDPgross domestic product±2.7%8 of 20×0.74

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.51 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	2.51	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	-1.36	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	-1.49	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod