What move does the options market price into Colgate Palmolive's report?

Implied ±8.9%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Colgate Palmolive move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CLNYSEPerfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Colgate Palmolive Co (CL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

95.30

+2.14 · +2.30%

post 95.09 −0.22%

Closed17:30 ET

Open94.66Volume8.8MMkt cap$75.7BP/E36.86EPS2.58Div yield2.21%

Day94.66 – 98.0013%52-wk72.80 – 98.3887%

Colgate Palmolive Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.9%implied · straddle

86.83103.75

spot 95.29exp Feb 19ATM strike 95ATM straddle 9.95IV 24%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 29

before open · in 89 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.29%

vs ±2.1% implied · ×1.07

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 30 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

11.00%

of CL revenue · Walmart, Inc. and its affiliates

customerCL 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.83%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

2,029 managers

Top fund weight

4.70%

CL weight · XLP

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Colgate Palmolive (CL) is expected to report on Jan 29 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±2.8%
avg realized: ±2.2%

Jan 31 '25Jan 31 '25confirmed±3.0%▼−4.61%×1.52

Apr 25 '25Apr 25 '25confirmed±2.9%▲+1.31%×0.45

Aug 1 '25Aug 1 '25confirmed±2.9%▼−0.41%×0.14

Oct 31 '25Oct 31 '25confirmed±2.7%▲+0.71%×0.26

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±2.6%▲+5.92%×2.26

Q1 FY26May 1 '26confirmed±2.6%▲+2.23%×0.85

Q2 FY26Jul 31 '26confirmed±3.4%▼−0.33%×0.10

Q3 FY26Oct 30 '26confirmed±2.1%▲+2.29%×1.07

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±2.1%▲+2.29%×1.07

Q2 FY26±3.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 29 close

4.40OI · 8 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4 nearer expiries

139+78%Nov 65d0.20679+171%0.20

67−3%Nov 1312d0.164290%0.16

2,743+3%Nov 2019d0.426,522+1%0.42

15+7%Dec 433d1.0015+15%1.00

7,7950%Dec 1847d1.305,9760%1.30

9,767+4%Jan 1575d0.8311,824+20%0.83

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

4 nearer expiries

Nov 65d139+78%679+171%0.20

Nov 1312d67−3%4290%0.16

Nov 2019d2,743+3%6,522

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.9%

Funds 4

XLP±0.4%

REVS±0.1%

VIG±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

Customers 1

WMT±3.2%×0.36

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

14.51%as filednet margin · revenue +0.15% QoQ · +4.64% YoY

Revenue

$5.4B+0.15% QoQ

Gross profit

$3.2B−1.91% QoQ

60.22% margin

Operating income

$1.1B+7.09% QoQ

20.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.0B+7.26% QoQ

Net income

$779M+8.34% QoQ

14.51% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B+3.44% QoQ

Operating expenses

$2.1B−5.92% QoQ

SG&A $2.1B

Other operating $34M

Other expense

$69M

Tax

$240M+3.90% QoQ

Revenue$5.4B+0.15%

Gross profit

$3.2B−1.91%

60.22% margin

Operating income

$1.1B+7.09%

20.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.0B+7.26%

Net income

$779M+8.34%

14.51% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B+3.44%

Operating expenses

$2.1B−5.92%

SG&A $2.1B

Other operating $34M

Other expense

$69M

Tax$240M+3.90%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.86· ±1.8% vs ±0.9% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%6 of 11×1.86

PPIproducer prices±1.4%7 of 11×1.43

NFPjobs report±1.3%7 of 10×1.34

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%12 of 20×1.23

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%12 of 20×1.08

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%7 of 12×0.99

FOMCrate decision±0.8%7 of 24×0.87

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.94 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 30 '26 · confirmed	0.94	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 31 '26 · confirmed	0.86	—
Q1 FY26	May 1 '26 · confirmed	0.80	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod