What move does the options market price into Antero Resources's report?

Implied ±14.2%, either direction · provisional.

ARNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Antero Resources Corp (AR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

42.07

+0.87 · +2.11%

post 42.00 −0.16%

Closed19:14 ET

Open41.55Volume5.5MMkt cap$12.9BP/E9.44EPS4.45

Day41.55 – 42.2564%52-wk30.12 – 45.7576%

Antero Resources Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±14.2%implied · straddle

36.0948.07

spot 42.08exp Feb 19ATM strike 42ATM straddle 7.05IV 38%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

after close · in 102 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−2.16%

vs ±3.8% implied · ×0.57

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

79dNOG · customerNorthern Oil and Gas (NOG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.91%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

635 managers

Top fund weight

0.28%

AR weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Antero Resources (AR) is expected to report on Feb 10 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed—▲+0.46%—

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±3.8%▼−2.16%×0.57

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±3.8%▼−2.16%×0.57

Q2 FY26—▲+0.46%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.35OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

550+43%Nov 66d0.551,009+26%0.55

84+65%Nov 1313d0.19447+11%0.19

8,942−1%Nov 2020d0.6912,906+2%0.69

206+238%Nov 2727d1.58130+35%1.58

2—Dec 434d0.0445—0.04

1,857+3%Dec 1848d2.50743+79%2.50

14,4650%Jan 1576d0.5426,897+1%0.54

report · Feb 10 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 66d550+43%1,009+26%0.55

Nov 1313d84+65%447+11%0.19

Nov 2020d8,942−1%12,906

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±14.2%

Funds 3

MDY±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

23.49%as filednet margin · revenue +0.19% QoQ · +28.74% YoY

Revenue

$1.6B+0.19% QoQ

Gross profit

$780M+5.62% QoQ

49.92% margin

Operating income

$392M+4.35% QoQ

25.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$464M+26.85% QoQ

Net income

$367M+28.18% QoQ

23.49% margin

Cost of revenue

$783M−4.69% QoQ

Operating expenses

$388M+6.93% QoQ

Depreciation $241M

Other operating $76M

SG&A $58M

Other operating $13M

Tax

$96M+21.99% QoQ

Other income

$72M+814.14% QoQ

Revenue$1.6B+0.19%

Gross profit

$780M+5.62%

49.92% margin

Operating income

$392M+4.35%

25.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$464M+26.85%

Net income

$367M+28.18%

23.49% margin

Cost of revenue

$783M−4.69%

Operating expenses

$388M+6.93%

Depreciation $241M

Other operating $76M

SG&A $58M

Other income$72M+814.14%

Tax$96M+21.99%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.18· ±2.2% vs ±1.9% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.2%5 of 11×1.18

Antero Resources Corp (AR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Implied vs realized

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Positioning

Linked exposure

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Revenue flow

Intraday

Intraday

Event sensitivity

Antero Resources Corp (AR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Revenue flow

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Event sensitivity

Earnings history

Methodology

Intraday

Linked exposure

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	1.19	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.90	—
Q1 FY26	—	1.72	—