What move does the options market price into Apollo Global Management's report?

Implied ±5.0%, either direction.

How often does Apollo Global Management move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

APONYSEInvestment Advice

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

115.97

Closed19:34 ET

Open118.24Volume5.3MMkt cap$68.4BP/E41.27EPS2.81Div yield1.85%

Day115.71 – 118.2410%52-wk98.73 – 151.3933%

APO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±2.4%·×2.06·rich

110.04121.64

straddle ±5.4%

spot 115.84exp Nov 6ATM strike 116ATM straddle 7.38IV 57%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

before open · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.92%

vs ±6.0% implied · ×0.49

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dHGV · supplierHilton Grand Vacations starts $200 million ASR; initial delivery ~4.48 million shares
3dVICI · supplierVICI Properties Q3 net income $346,851 thousand; YTD $1,768,116 thousand

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.83%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,182 managers

Top fund weight

0.72%

APO weight · XLF

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Apollo Global Management (APO) is expected to report on Nov 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.7%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Feb 4 '25Feb 4 '25confirmed—▼−2.71%—

May 2 '25May 2 '25confirmed—▼−1.83%—

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±4.5%▲+2.48%×0.55

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+5.29%×1.12

Feb 9 '26Feb 9 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+0.69%×0.11

Q1 FY26Apr 1 '26confirmed±2.2%▼−2.91%×1.31

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±4.5%▼−0.59%×0.13

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±6.0%▲+2.92%×0.49

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.0%▲+2.92%×0.49

May '26±4.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 close

2.52OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,775+3%Nov 65d1,102+6%

2200%Nov 1312d0.121,8230%0.12

30,6550%Nov 2019d2.7511,129+1%2.75

122+177%Nov 2726d0.71173+260%0.71

33+106%Dec 433d0.04750—0.04

5 later expiries

0—Dec 1140d—0——

41,099+1%Dec 1847d3.02

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d2,775+3%1,102+6%2.52

Nov 1312d2200%1,8230%0.12

Nov 2019d30,6550%11,129+1%2.75

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±5.4%

Funds 4

XLF±0.0%

FTC±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

Suppliers 1

HGV±2.4%×0.45

Customers 1

ARI±1.2%×0.22

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

18.73%as filednet margin · revenue +120.46% QoQ · +63.68% YoY

Revenue

$11.2B+120.46% QoQ

Gross profit

$10.2B+135.19% QoQ

91.69% margin

Operating income

$2.4B+534.74% QoQ

21.63% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.5B+778.09% QoQ

Net income

$2.1B+248.05% QoQ

18.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$927M+30.38% QoQ

Operating expenses

$7.8B+96.93% QoQ

Other operating $6.7B

SG&A $1.1B

Tax

$396M−76.62% QoQ

Other income

$73M+175.26% QoQ

Revenue$11.2B+120.46%

Gross profit

$10.2B+135.19%

91.69% margin

Operating income

$2.4B+534.74%

21.63% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.5B+778.09%

Net income

$2.1B+248.05%

18.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$927M+30.38%

Operating expenses

$7.8B+96.93%

Other operating $6.7B

SG&A $1.1B

Other income$73M+175.26%

Tax$396M−76.62%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.53· ±2.4% vs ±1.6% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.4%7 of 11×1.53

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%11 of 20×1.04

FOMCrate decision±1.6%12 of 24×1.02

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%11 of 20×0.91

NFPjobs report±1.3%3 of 10×0.81

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%3 of 11×0.74

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	2.15	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 1 '26 · confirmed	-3.27	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	2.78	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod