What move does the options market price into Agco's report?

Implied ±13.7%, either direction · provisional.

AGCONYSEFarm Machinery & Equipment

Agco Corp (AGCO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

114.00

+3.09 · +2.79%

Regular session11:52 ET

Open111.28Volume848,693Mkt cap$7.6BP/E29.31EPS3.89Div yield1.06%

Day111.28 – 114.00100%52-wk98.22 – 142.6835%

AGCO

Agco Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.7%implied · straddle

95.69126.13

spot 110.91exp Feb 19ATM strike 110ATM straddle 17.90IV 37%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

before open · in 94 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.56%

vs ±7.9% implied · ×0.71

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dDAN · supplierDana Incorporated to Participate in Gabelli 50th Annual Automotive Symposium

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.92%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

513 managers

Top fund weight

0.20%

AGCO weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Agco (AGCO) is expected to report on Feb 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed—▼−7.78%—

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±7.9%▲+5.56%×0.71

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.9%▲+5.56%×0.71

Q2 FY26—▼−7.78%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.13OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

578+1%Nov 2018d0.252,2710%0.25

28+133%Dec 1846d0.221280%0.22

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

1740%Feb 19109d1,3100%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d578+1%2,2710%0.25

Dec 1846d28+133%1280%0.22

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

Feb 19109d1740%1,3100%0.13

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.7%

Funds 3

MDY±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

2.21%as filednet margin · revenue −13.30% QoQ · −8.63% YoY

Revenue

$2.3B−13.30% QoQ

Gross profit

$565M−12.46% QoQ

24.99% margin

Operating income

$116M−17.48% QoQ

5.13% margin

Pre-tax income

$68M−37.06% QoQ

Net income

$50M−33.16% QoQ

2.21% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.7B−13.58% QoQ

Operating expenses

$449M−11.06% QoQ

SG&A $304M

Other operating $122M

Other operating $24M

Other expense

$48M

Tax

$25M−37.62% QoQ

Revenue$2.3B−13.30%

Gross profit

$565M−12.46%

24.99% margin

Operating income

$116M−17.48%

5.13% margin

Pre-tax income

$68M−37.06%

Net income

$50M−33.16%

2.21% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.7B−13.58%

Operating expenses

$449M−11.06%

SG&A $304M

Other operating $122M

Other operating $24M

Other expense

$48M

Tax$25M−37.62%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.69· ±2.7% vs ±1.6% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%6 of 19×1.69

NFPjobs report±2.1%4 of 10×1.29

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×1.12

PPIproducer prices±1.7%5 of 11×1.09

GDPgross domestic product±1.7%9 of 19×1.07

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%7 of 12×0.77

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%5 of 11×0.51

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.75 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	0.75	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	1.08	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.76	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod