What move does the options market price into Adient's report?

Implied ±9.8%, either direction.

How often does Adient move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ADNTNYSEMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Adient plc (ADNT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

16.67

Closed16:00 ET

Open17.22Volume1.5MMkt cap$1.3BP/E30.31EPS0.55

Day16.65 – 17.293%52-wk15.91 – 27.327%

ADNT

Adient plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.8%implied · straddle

15.0518.33

spot 16.69exp Nov 20ATM strike 17.5ATM straddle 1.93IV 56%

Oct 30 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

before open · in 4 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.02%

vs ±12.9% implied · ×0.23

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

11.00%

of Gentherm revenue

supplierTHRM 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.70%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

309 managers

Top fund weight

0.05%

ADNT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Adient (ADNT) is expected to report on Nov 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.3%
avg realized: ±6.6%

Nov 8 '24Nov 8 '24confirmed±8.7%▲+2.21%×0.25

Jan 28 '25Jan 28 '25confirmed±9.2%▲+3.70%×0.40

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±7.8%▼−0.47%×0.06

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±8.6%▲+3.48%×0.40

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±9.1%▼−16.72%×1.84

Q1 FY26Feb 4 '26confirmed±9.6%▲+15.19%×1.59

Q2 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±8.9%▲+7.98%×0.89

Q3 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±12.9%▼−3.02%×0.23

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±12.9%▼−3.02%×0.23

Q2 FY26±8.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

14.54OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,469+1%Nov 2020d101+2%

719+4%Dec 1848d0.511,414+2%0.51

1,781+2%Jan 1576d3.01591−1%3.01

1,167+6%Apr 16167d12.5593+2%12.55

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d1,469+1%101+2%14.54

Dec 1848d719+4%1,414+2%0.51

Jan 1576d1,781+2%591−1%3.01

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Suppliers 1

THRM±4.2%×0.42

Customers 4

STLA±4.7%×0.48

F±3.6%×0.37

GM±3.4%×0.34

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

1.07%as filednet margin · revenue +1.66% QoQ · +5.03% YoY

Revenue

$3.9B+1.66% QoQ

Gross profit

$235M−8.56% QoQ

5.98% margin

Operating income

$114M−10.24% QoQ

2.90% margin

Pre-tax income

$65M−14.47% QoQ

Net income

$42M−4.55% QoQ

1.07% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.7B+2.38% QoQ

Operating expenses

$121M−6.92% QoQ

Other expense

$49M

Tax

$23M−28.13% QoQ

Revenue$3.9B+1.66%

Gross profit

$235M−8.56%

5.98% margin

Operating income

$114M−10.24%

2.90% margin

Pre-tax income

$65M−14.47%

Net income

$42M−4.55%

1.07% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.7B+2.38%

Operating expenses

$121M−6.92%

Other expense

$49M

Tax$23M−28.13%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.52· ±3.2% vs ±2.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.2%5 of 10×1.52

NFPjobs report±2.6%7 of 10×1.24

CPROFcorporate profits±2.4%6 of 12×1.13

GDPgross domestic product±2.2%9 of 19×1.05

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%6 of 19×0.76

CPIconsumer prices±1.5%4 of 10×0.70

FOMCrate decision±1.4%10 of 24×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.32 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.32	—
Q2 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.34	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.28	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod