What move does the options market price into American Bitcoin's report?

Implied ±11.3%, either direction.

ABTCNasdaqFinance Services

American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

6.61

−0.89 · −11.88%

post 6.64 +0.47%

Closed17:57 ET

Open7.29Volume1.3MMkt cap$474.7MEPS-2.73

Day6.50 – 7.2918%52-wk4.92 – 81.602%

ABTC

American Bitcoin Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±11.3%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±4.6%·×2.43·rich

5.897.39

straddle ±17.9%

spot 6.64exp Nov 13ATM strike 7ATM straddle 1.40IV 129%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structurethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 13

before open · in 12 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.98%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

24dHUT · supplierHut 8 Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+113.35%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

96 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

ABTC weight · BCOR

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

American Bitcoin (ABTC) is expected to report on Nov 13 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

4 reports

—≥ implied

Q3 FY25Nov 14 '25confirmed—▲+2.53%—

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed—▲+2.86%—

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed—▼−7.20%—

Q2 FY26Aug 3 '26confirmed—▲+5.98%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+5.98%—

May '26—▼−7.20%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.06OI · 7 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

194+46%Nov 65d0.37531+5%0.37

report · Nov 13 · before open · est.

40%Nov 1312d72+3%

1,587+2%Nov 2019d2.40661+4%2.40

20%Nov 2726d0.0368+58%0.03

3 later expiries

1,7690%Dec 1847d0.296,0570%0.29

2,2020%Jan 1575d0.06

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d194+46%531+5%0.37

report · Nov 13 · before open · est.

Nov 1312d40%72+3%0.06

Nov 2019d1,587+2%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±17.9%

Funds 1

BCOR±0.0%

Suppliers 1

HUT±9.6%×0.53

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 277dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−85.28%as filednet margin · revenue +7.88% QoQ · +121.28% YoY

Revenue$67M+7.88%

Gross profit$33M49.25%+1.49%

Operating income−$74M−110.54%+37.32%

Pre-tax income−$56M+31.04%

Net income−$57M−85.28%+30.13%

Cost of revenue$34M+14.90%

Operating expenses$107M−28.95%

Tax$1M+47.02%

Other income$18M−50.92%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×0.58· ±5.6% vs ±9.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.6%3 of 10×0.58

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.4%2 of 11×0.45

GDPgross domestic product±4.3%2 of 11×0.44

CPROFcorporate profits±4.1%0 of 8×0.42

PPIproducer prices±3.5%4 of 10×0.36

FOMCrate decision±2.7%2 of 9×0.28

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%5 of 10×0.26

Bar = avg |move| to ±10% · tick = ±9.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±9.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.80 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 3 '26 · confirmed	-0.80	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	-0.08	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 14 '25 · confirmed	0.00	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod