American Bitcoin Corp. · Brief

Next report

112 days

Feb 25 · before openest.Q4 FY26

Expected move

±40.5%implied · straddle

3.718.77

spot 6.24exp Mar 19ATM strike 5ATM straddle 2.98IV 105%

Nov 4 closeprovisional

Expected move

4 reportsHistory

—≥ implied

Q3 FY25—▲+2.53%—

Q1 FY26—▲+2.86%—

May 6 '26—▼−7.20%—

Q2 FY26—▲+5.98%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+5.98%—

May '26—▼−7.20%—

Q1 FY26—▲+2.86%—

Q3 FY25—▲+2.53%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Feb 25 report · est.

—

ABTC report session

Suppliers 1

× = co-movement · max 277dSource: SEC filings · market data

Oct 30impliedImplied move: ±17.9% into Nov 13 earnings (Oct 30 close).Source

Oct 15impliedImplied move: ±13.8% into Oct 29 earnings (Oct 15 close).Source

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.