Tractor Supply Co · Brief

Next report

88 days

Jan 28 · before openest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.9%
avg realized: ±5.1%

Jan 30 '25±4.3%▼−5.02%×1.16

Apr 24 '25±4.9%▼−3.41%×0.70

Jul 24 '25±4.9%▼−0.47%×0.10

Q3 FY25±3.4%▲+2.77%×0.82

Jan 29 '26±4.1%▼−7.58%×1.83

Q1 FY26±6.6%▼−11.69%×1.78

Q2 FY26±5.5%▲+3.27%×0.60

Oct 22 '26±5.5%▲+6.24%×1.13

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Oct '26±5.5%▲+6.24%×1.13

Q2 FY26±5.5%▲+3.27%×0.60

Q1 FY26±6.6%▼−11.69%×1.78

Jan '26±4.1%▼−7.58%×1.83

Q3 FY25±3.4%▲+2.77%×0.82

Jul '25±4.9%▼−0.47%×0.10

2 older reports

Apr '25±4.9%▼−3.41%×0.70

Jan '25±4.3%▼−5.02%×1.16

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 28 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

11disclosed supplier and customer tiesSEC filings

10tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2 of 4

4 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

8 of 24largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TSCO report session

Suppliers 3

HLMNHillman Solutions×0.46 KTBKontoor Brands×0.41 GFFGriffon×0.37

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 8impliedImplied move: ±7.5% into Oct 22 earnings (Oct 8 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.