What move does the options market price into Toast's report?

Implied ±8.2%, either direction.

TOSTNYSEServices-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Toast, Inc. (TOST) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

31.64

+0.14 · +0.44%

post 31.65 +0.03%

Closed17:56 ET

Open31.21Volume8.7MMkt cap$18.3BP/E38.13EPS0.83

Day31.04 – 31.8477%52-wk22.26 – 39.6754%

TOST

Toast, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.2%implied · report alone

29.0734.29

straddle ±9.5%

spot 31.68exp Nov 6ATM strike 31.5ATM straddle 3.54IV 101%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

after close · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.93%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAMZN · supplierAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout
1dV · supplierSecret SantAI? Visa Survey Finds Americans Quietly Turning to AI for Holiday Shopping Help

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+15.88%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

780 managers

Top fund weight

0.45%

TOST weight · FTC

N-PORTJul 31 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Toast (TOST) is expected to report on Nov 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed—▲+2.93%—

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+2.93%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.25OI · 7 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

997+8%Nov 66d3,992+6%

1610%Nov 1313d0.043,9780%0.04

11,041+2%Nov 2020d0.9811,2850%0.98

166+2%Nov 2727d0.72229+8%0.72

16,5810%Dec 1848d0.6226,809+4%0.62

2 later expiries

60,9090%Jan 1576d0.7086,9400%0.70

3,2800%Mar 19139d0.58

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 66d997+8%3,992+6%0.25

Nov 1313d1610%3,9780%0.04

Nov 2020d11,041+2%11,2850%0.98

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.5%

Funds 3

FTC±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

8.07%as filednet margin · revenue +17.06% QoQ · +23.10% YoY

Revenue

$1.9B+17.06% QoQ

Gross profit

$516M+15.44% QoQ

27.04% margin

Operating income

$152M+38.18% QoQ

7.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$162M+23.66% QoQ

Net income

$154M+22.22% QoQ

8.07% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+17.67% QoQ

Operating expenses

$364M+8.01% QoQ

Marketing $166M

R&D $109M

SG&A $89M

Tax

$8M+60.00% QoQ

Other income

$10M−52.38% QoQ

Revenue$1.9B+17.06%

Gross profit

$516M+15.44%

27.04% margin

Operating income

$152M+38.18%

7.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$162M+23.66%

Net income

$154M+22.22%

8.07% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+17.67%

Operating expenses

$364M+8.01%

Marketing $166M

R&D $109M

SG&A $89M

Other income$10M−52.38%

Tax$8M+60.00%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.33· ±2.9% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.9%4 of 10×1.33

CPIconsumer prices±2.5%4 of 11×1.13

PPIproducer prices±2.4%6 of 11×1.07

FOMCrate decision±2.1%14 of 24×0.93

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%6 of 12×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%11 of 19×0.77

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 19×0.66

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.26 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	0.26	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.20	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod