What move does the options market price into Powell Industries's report?

Implied ±10.9%, either direction.

How often does Powell Industries move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

POWLNasdaqSwitchgear & Switchboard Apparatus

Powell Industries Inc (POWL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

145.09

−18.25 · −11.17%

Regular session15:08 ET

Open165.00Volume468,669Mkt cap$6.0BP/E27.69EPS5.24Div yield0.22%

Day142.69 – 165.0011%52-wk92.47 – 327.7422%

POWL

Powell Industries Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.9%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±9.3%·×1.16·rich

145.57181.11

straddle ±14.5%

spot 163.34exp Nov 20ATM strike 163.33ATM straddle 27.80IV 99%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 17

after close · in 13 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.80%

vs ±22.9% implied · ×0.17

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+190.81%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

586 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

POWL weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Powell Industries (POWL) is expected to report on Nov 17 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.7%
avg realized: ±9.3%

Nov 19 '24Nov 19 '24confirmed±20.1%▼−16.12%×0.80

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±15.6%▼−6.54%×0.42

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±13.8%▼−8.04%×0.58

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±13.1%▼−3.56%×0.27

Nov 18 '25Nov 18 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−11.23%×1.00

Feb 3 '26Feb 3 '26confirmed±13.7%▲+16.34%×1.19

Q2 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±15.0%▲+9.16%×0.61

Q3 FY26Aug 3 '26confirmed±22.9%▼−3.80%×0.17

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q3 FY26±22.9%▼−3.80%×0.17

Q2 FY26±15.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.46OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,557−1%Nov 2016d3,376+12%

4,658+2%Dec 1844d0.3712,596+1%0.37

1,178+2%Feb 19107d0.196,141+2%0.19

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1,557−1%3,376+12%0.46

Dec 1844d4,658+2%12,596+1%0.37

Feb 19107d1,178+2%6,141+2%0.19

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±14.5%

Funds 1

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

16.73%as filednet margin · revenue +5.10% QoQ · +8.90% YoY

Revenue

$312M+5.10% QoQ

Gross profit

$95M+8.37% QoQ

30.57% margin

Operating income

$64M+11.28% QoQ

20.55% margin

Pre-tax income

$69M+11.88% QoQ

Net income

$52M+13.67% QoQ

16.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$216M+3.72% QoQ

Operating expenses

$31M+2.86% QoQ

SG&A $27M

R&D $4M

Other operating $221,000

Tax

$17M+6.71% QoQ

Other income

$5M+20.08% QoQ

Revenue$312M+5.10%

Gross profit

$95M+8.37%

30.57% margin

Operating income

$64M+11.28%

20.55% margin

Pre-tax income

$69M+11.88%

Net income

$52M+13.67%

16.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$216M+3.72%

Operating expenses

$31M+2.86%

SG&A $27M

R&D $4M

Other operating $221,000

Other income$5M+20.08%

Tax$17M+6.71%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×2.20· ±6.9% vs ±3.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±6.9%13 of 24×2.20

PPIproducer prices±3.3%4 of 10×1.06

NFPjobs report±3.2%7 of 10×1.03

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.2%12 of 19×1.03

GDPgross domestic product±3.2%8 of 19×1.02

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%5 of 10×0.96

CPROFcorporate profits±2.6%6 of 12×0.84

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.42 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 3 '26 · confirmed	1.42	—
Q2 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	1.25	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod