What move does the options market price into PNC Financial Services's report?

Implied ±10.3%, either direction · provisional.

How often does PNC Financial Services move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PNCNYSENational Commercial Banks

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

231.67

+3.81 · +1.67%

Regular session15:26 ET

Open230.68Volume1.5MMkt cap$90.9BP/E12.75EPS18.17Div yield3.25%

Day230.68 – 232.6052%52-wk171.44 – 256.6071%

PNC

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.3%implied · straddle

204.40251.32

spot 227.86exp Mar 19ATM strike 230ATM straddle 27.60IV 25%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 23

in 113 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.40%

vs ±3.0% implied · ×0.13

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 15 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dOSK · customerOshkosh Q3 net income $138.4 million, diluted EPS $2.22; 9M net income $364.7 million, $5.81
42dIRT · customerIndependence Realty Trust (IRT) and Centerspace Combine into an $8.1 Billion Apartment Giant
58dXPER · customerTiVo OS Added Generative AI Discovery. Can Xperi Take Share From Roku Without Owning the TV Screen?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.37%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

2,036 managers

Top fund weight

1.30%

PNC weight · XLF

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

PNC Financial Services (PNC) is expected to report on Feb 23 (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±2.7%
avg realized: ±1.4%

Apr 15 '25Apr 15 '25confirmed±4.1%▲+0.05%×0.01

Jul 16 '25Jul 16 '25confirmed±2.8%▲+0.93%×0.33

Q3 FY25Oct 15 '25confirmed±2.8%▼−3.90%×1.41

Nov 7 '25Nov 7 '25confirmed±1.2%▲+0.70%×0.59

Jan 16 '26Jan 16 '26confirmed±2.1%▲+3.79%×1.80

Q1 FY26Apr 15 '26confirmed±2.7%▲+0.39%×0.14

Q2 FY26Jul 15 '26confirmed±3.1%▲+0.90%×0.29

Oct 15 '26Oct 15 '26confirmed±3.0%▼−0.40%×0.13

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Oct '26±3.0%▼−0.40%×0.13

Q2 FY26±3.1%▲+0.90%×0.29

Q1 FY26±2.7%▲+0.39%×0.14

Jan '26±2.1%▲+3.79%×1.80

Nov '25±1.2%▲+0.70%×0.59

Q3 FY25±2.8%▼−3.90%×1.41

2 older reports

Jul '25±2.8%▲+0.93%×0.33

Apr '25±4.1%▲+0.05%×0.01

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.51OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

7 nearer expiries

538+2%Nov 64d1.39387+10%1.39

205−15%Nov 1311d1.38149+10%1.38

1,9070%Nov 2018d0.444,3370%0.44

241+111%Nov 2725d1.14211+258%1.14

17+6%Dec 432d1.0017+89%1.00

0—Dec 1139d—0——

5,2640%Dec 1846d2.322,2650%2.32

5,659+1%Jan 1574d0.866,560+1%0.86

481+1%Feb 19109d0.421,132+1%0.42

report · Feb 23 · est.

2,2540%Mar 19137d1,4900%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

7 nearer expiries

Nov 64d538+2%387+10%1.39

Nov 1311d205−15%149+10%1.38

Nov 2018d1,9070%4,3370%0.44

Nov 2725d241+111%211+258%1.14

Dec 432d17+6%17+89%1.00

Dec 1139d0—0——

Dec 1846d5,2640%2,2650%2.32

Jan 1574d5,659+1%6,560+1%0.86

Feb 19109d481+1%1,132+1%0.42

report · Feb 23 · est.

Mar 19137d2,2540%1,4900%1.51

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.3%

Funds 4

XLF±0.1%

VIG±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

Suppliers 1

NATL±6.7%×0.65

Customers 3

VIRC±5.9%×0.57

XPER±5.7%×0.55

IRT±4.5%×0.44

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

29.89%as filednet margin · revenue +11.52% QoQ · +21.44% YoY

Revenue$6.9B+11.52%

Pre-tax income$2.6B+18.24%

Net income$2.1B29.89%+15.97%

Tax$531M+27.95%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mVolume ×0.22 · 20d avgSource: market data · 15:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.22· ±1.3% vs ±1.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.3%12 of 24×1.22

PPIproducer prices±1.1%3 of 11×1.00

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%12 of 20×0.82

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%6 of 12×0.80

NFPjobs report±0.9%3 of 10×0.80

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%11 of 20×0.75

CPIconsumer prices±0.5%4 of 11×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.81 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 15 '26 · confirmed	4.81	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 15 '26 · confirmed	4.13	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 15 '25 · confirmed	4.35	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod