What move does the options market price into Parker-Hannifin's report?

Implied ±5.2%, either direction.

How often does Parker-Hannifin move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PHNYSEMiscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products

Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

899.82

Closed19:56 ET

Open927.10Volume1.3MMkt cap$113.4BP/E31.15EPS28.89Div yield0.84%

Day889.09 – 927.3528%52-wk748.86 – 1,097.7343%

Parker-Hannifin Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.2%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±4.3%·×1.20·rich

852.96946.68

straddle ±6.9%

spot 899.82exp Nov 20ATM strike 900ATM straddle 73.30IV 43%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

before open · in 5 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+7.31%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.59%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

1,988 managers

Top fund weight

2.14%

PH weight · XLI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Parker-Hannifin (PH) is expected to report on Nov 5 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.7%
avg realized: ±3.9%

Oct 31 '24Oct 31 '24confirmed±5.5%▲+1.57%×0.29

Jan 30 '25Jan 30 '25confirmed±5.6%▲+5.72%×1.02

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±6.4%▲+0.84%×0.13

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+4.05%×0.78

Nov 6 '25Nov 6 '25confirmed±5.5%▲+7.75%×1.40

Q2 FY26Jan 29 '26confirmed±5.7%▲+3.51%×0.62

Q3 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.1%▼−4.02%×0.66

Q4 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed—▲+7.31%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q4 FY26—▲+7.31%—

Q3 FY26±6.1%−4.02%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.10OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3,044−2%Nov 2020d2,765+2%

88+33%Dec 1848d0.59149+126%0.59

1,101−1%Feb 19111d1.18934+3%1.18

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d3,044−2%2,765+2%1.10

Dec 1848d88+33%149+126%0.59

Feb 19111d1,101−1%934+3%1.18

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±6.9%

Funds 4

XLI±0.1%

VTV±0.0%

FTC±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

18.97%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +4.90% QoQ · +9.77% YoY

Revenue

$5.8B+4.90% QoQ

Gross profit

$2.2B+11.40% QoQ

39.04% margin

Operating income

$1.4B+21.18% QoQ

23.86% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.3B+19.75% QoQ

Net income

$1.1B+20.80% QoQ

18.97% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.5B+1.12% QoQ

Operating expenses

$874M−1.13% QoQ

Other expense

$33M

Tax

$248M+15.35% QoQ

Revenue$5.8B+4.90%

Gross profit

$2.2B+11.40%

39.04% margin

Operating income

$1.4B+21.18%

23.86% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.3B+19.75%

Net income

$1.1B+20.80%

18.97% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.5B+1.12%

Operating expenses

$874M−1.13%

Other expense

$33M

Tax$248M+15.35%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.26· ±1.5% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.5%13 of 24×1.26

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 19×1.24

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%10 of 19×1.16

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%8 of 10×1.06

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%6 of 12×1.04

PPIproducer prices±1.2%3 of 10×0.98

NFPjobs report±1.1%5 of 10×0.88

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 8.53 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	8.53	—
Q3 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	7.06	—
Q2 FY26	Jan 29 '26 · confirmed	6.60	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod