What move does the options market price into Omnicom's report?

Implied ±12.4%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Omnicom move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

OMCNYSEServices-Advertising Agencies

Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

81.25

+0.28 · +0.35%

post 81.25 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open81.75Volume3.5MMkt cap$22.2BP/E31.45Div yield3.94%

Day80.26 – 82.5044%52-wk64.32 – 88.6570%

OMC

Omnicom Group Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±12.4%implied · straddle

71.1991.33

spot 81.26exp Mar 19ATM strike 82.5ATM straddle 11.85IV 30%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

after close · in 108 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.15%

vs ±6.3% implied · ×0.02

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−3.25%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,100 managers

Top fund weight

2.50%

OMC weight · XLC

N-PORTJun 30 '26

8 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Omnicom (OMC) is expected to report on Feb 17 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.7%
avg realized: ±4.8%

Feb 4 '25Feb 4 '25confirmed±4.6%▼−2.27%×0.49

Apr 15 '25Apr 15 '25confirmed±4.1%▼−7.28%×1.76

Jul 15 '25Jul 15 '25confirmed±4.8%▲+4.62%×0.96

Oct 21 '25Oct 21 '25confirmed±7.2%▲+3.20%×0.45

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±6.4%▲+15.36%×2.41

Q1 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±5.3%▼−0.90%×0.17

Q2 FY26Jul 28 '26confirmed±7.0%▼−4.22%×0.61

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±6.3%▲+0.15%×0.02

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±6.3%▲+0.15%×0.02

Q2 FY26±7.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.49OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

7,109+1%Nov 2019d1.993,578+2%1.99

5,685+1%Dec 1847d1.723,297+2%1.72

504+8%Jan 1575d0.271,878+7%0.27

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

1,0850%Mar 19138d730+2%

21−5%Apr 16166d0.6831+15%0.68

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d7,109+1%3,578+2%1.99

Dec 1847d5,685+1%3,297+2%1.72

Jan 1575d504+8%1,878+7%0.27

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±12.4%

Funds 4

XLC±0.3%

RSP±0.0%

FB±0.0%

SPY±0.0%

Suppliers 1

NLOP±2.3%×0.18

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

10.50%as filednet margin · revenue −2.13% QoQ · +59.09% YoY

Revenue

$6.4B−2.13% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.4B+4.73% QoQ

21.16% margin

Operating income

$992M+7.50% QoQ

15.44% margin

Pre-tax income

$888M+7.03% QoQ

Net income

$675M+11.41% QoQ

10.50% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.1B−3.82% QoQ

Operating expenses

$368M−2.08% QoQ

SG&A $201M

Depreciation $167M

Other expense

$104M

Tax

$215M−4.18% QoQ

Revenue$6.4B−2.13%

Gross profit

$1.4B+4.73%

21.16% margin

Operating income

$992M+7.50%

15.44% margin

Pre-tax income

$888M+7.03%

Net income

$675M+11.41%

10.50% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.1B−3.82%

Operating expenses

$368M−2.08%

SG&A $201M

Depreciation $167M

Other expense

$104M

Tax$215M−4.18%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.46· ±1.9% vs ±1.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.9%8 of 10×1.46

NFPjobs report±1.6%6 of 10×1.26

FOMCrate decision±1.3%7 of 24×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×0.89

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%6 of 19×0.85

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%2 of 10×0.81

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%3 of 12×0.70

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.38 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	2.38	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 28 '26 · confirmed	2.08	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	1.35	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod