What move does the options market price into Oklo's report?

Implied ±10.7%, either direction.

OKLONYSEElectric Services

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

22.10

−1.39 · −5.90%

post 22.11 +0.02%

Closed19:53 ET

Open23.46Volume10.9MMkt cap$4.4BEPS-0.94

Day21.82 – 24.0013%52-wk22.93 – 123.440%

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.7%implied · report alone

19.7524.49

straddle ±15.1%

spot 22.12exp Nov 20ATM strike 22ATM straddle 3.93IV 107%

Nov 4 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 13

after close · in 8 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−6.41%

vs ±13.2% implied · ×0.49

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Mar 24 '25 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

12hMETA · customerWatch out for Big Tech companies like Meta and Alphabet issuing more shares and diluting your stock ownership
7dEQIX · customerEquinix posts Q3 revenue $2,571 million, net income $489 million, EPS $4.95

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.72%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

685 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

OKLO weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Oklo (OKLO) is expected to report on Nov 13 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

3 reports

—≥ implied

Aug 13 '24Aug 13 '24confirmed±14.0%▲+2.56%×0.18

Nov 14 '24Nov 14 '24confirmed±13.4%▼−24.62%×1.84

Mar 24 '25Mar 24 '25confirmed±13.2%▼−6.41%×0.49

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Mar '25±13.2%▼−6.41%×0.49

Nov '24±13.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 23 close

0.83OI · 7 expiries · Oct 23 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,637+12%Nov 61d0.637,412+27%0.63

report · Nov 13 · after close · est.

4,326+25%Nov 138d5,229+84%

29,760+25%Nov 2015d0.5257,217+13%0.52

1,645+7377%Nov 2722d0.951,726+4326%0.95

3 later expiries

22,596−4%Dec 1843d0.2589,545+1%0.25

62,525−2%Jan 1571d0.52

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 61d4,637+12%7,412+27%0.63

report · Nov 13 · after close · est.

Nov 138d4,326+25%5,229+84%0.83

Nov 2015d29,760+25%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.1%

Funds 2

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Q2 FY26 · as filed

−4011.24%Q2 FY26 · as filednet margin

Revenue$1M—

Gross profit$1M100.00%—

Operating income−$73M−6048.76%−42.81%

Pre-tax income−$52M−72.82%

Net income−$49M−4011.24%−46.79%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$74M+45.17%

Tax−$3M−199.94%

Other income$22M+0.76%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.24· ±5.8% vs ±4.7% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±5.8%8 of 19×1.24

PPIproducer prices±5.5%3 of 10×1.17

NFPjobs report±5.1%5 of 10×1.09

FOMCrate decision±4.7%11 of 24×0.99

CPIconsumer prices±4.2%5 of 10×0.89

CPROFcorporate profits±4.1%4 of 12×0.87

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.1%6 of 19×0.87

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±4.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.28 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	—	-0.28	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.19	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.20	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod