What move does the options market price into NIQ Global Intelligence's report?

Implied ±7.3%, either direction.

NIQNYSEServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

19.83

Closed16:00 ET

Open20.44Volume1.0MEPS-1.23

Day19.81 – 20.454%52-wk7.93 – 20.5694%

NIQ

NIQ Global Intelligence plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.3%implied · report alone

18.3921.27

straddle ±10.6%

spot 19.83exp Nov 20ATM strike 20ATM straddle 2.47IV 65%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

before open · in 11 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+41.95%

vs ±11.6% implied · ×3.61

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dPG · customerProcter & Gamble closes $750,000,000, $750,000,000, $1,250,000,000 and $1,250,000,000 notes
1dSONY · customerSony Group grants RSUs corresponding to up to 6,149,818 shares to 4,176 persons
1dCL · customerColgate posts Q3 net income $751 million, sales $5,369 million, EPS $0.94

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+7.45%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

162 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

NIQ weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ) is expected to report on Nov 12 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±11.6%▲+41.95%×3.61

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.6%▲+41.95%×3.61

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.01OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

10+25%Nov 2019d788+1094%

1—Dec 1847d0.0333+1000%0.03

6090%Jan 1575d0.341,813+17%0.34

6+500%Apr 16166d0.1060+30%0.10

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d10+25%788+1094%0.01

Dec 1847d1—33+1000%0.03

Jan 1575d6090%1,813+17%0.34

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.6%

Funds 1

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−2.51%as filednet margin · revenue +4.80% QoQ · +8.01% YoY

Revenue$1.1B+4.80%

Gross profit$624M55.52%+4.43%

Operating income$65M5.81%+740.20%

Pre-tax income$9M+114.90%

Net income−$28M−2.51%+68.21%

Cost of revenue$500M+5.26%

Operating expenses$559M−8.06%

Tax$38M+46.88%

Other expense−$56M−5.67%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.05· ±2.7% vs ±2.5% · 9 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±2.7%2 of 9×1.05

FOMCrate decision±2.5%5 of 10×0.97

PPIproducer prices±2.4%5 of 11×0.95

NFPjobs report±2.2%5 of 10×0.87

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.2%4 of 13×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±2.0%3 of 13×0.80

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%5 of 11×0.45

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.10 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.10	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.31	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.70	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod