What move does the options market price into Newmont's report?

Implied ±16.2%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Newmont move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NEMNYSEGold and Silver Ores

Newmont Corp (NEM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

106.58

−5.22 · −4.67%

post 106.51 −0.07%

Closed19:21 ET

Open109.35Volume8.8MMkt cap$110.8BP/E12.33EPS8.64Div yield0.97%

Day104.67 – 110.0534%52-wk77.86 – 135.0150%

NEM

Newmont Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±16.2%implied · straddle

89.38123.84

spot 106.61exp Mar 19ATM strike 105ATM straddle 20.28IV 39%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

after close · in 110 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.59%

vs ±3.4% implied · ×1.36

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

44dSSRM · customerWhy Did SSR Mining Stock Pop Today?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.67%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,789 managers

Top fund weight

5.84%

NEM weight · XLB

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Newmont (NEM) is expected to report on Feb 18 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.5%
avg realized: ±5.1%

Feb 20 '25Feb 20 '25confirmed±4.5%▼−5.74%×1.27

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+4.80%×0.92

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±4.3%▲+6.89%×1.59

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±4.3%▼−6.23%×1.45

Feb 19 '26Feb 19 '26confirmed±4.5%▼−2.61%×0.58

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±4.9%▲+8.68%×1.79

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±4.8%▼−1.62%×0.34

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±3.4%▼−4.59%×1.36

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±3.4%▼−4.59%×1.36

Q2 FY26±4.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.89OI · 7 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4 nearer expiries

1,422+67%Nov 66d0.482,956+22%0.48

609+2%Nov 1313d0.551,0990%0.55

13,979+1%Nov 2020d0.4928,719+1%0.49

350+4%Nov 2727d0.88398+13%0.88

58,631+1%Dec 1848d1.1551,0240%1.15

64,437+1%Jan 1576d0.6598,496+1%0.65

report · Feb 18 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

4 nearer expiries

Nov 66d1,422+67%2,956+22%0.48

Nov 1313d609+2%1,0990%0.55

Nov 2020d13,979+1%28,719

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±16.2%

Funds 4

XLB±0.9%

REVS±0.2%

FTC±0.1%

VTV±0.1%

Customers 1

SSRM±15.6%×0.97

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

39.51%as filednet margin · revenue +4.00% QoQ · +15.19% YoY

Revenue

$6.4B+4.00% QoQ

Gross profit

$4.2B+4.71% QoQ

66.32% margin

Operating income

$3.2B+2.16% QoQ

49.71% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.2B+7.04% QoQ

Net income

$2.5B+11.68% QoQ

39.51% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B+2.63% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.1B+13.17% QoQ

Depreciation $632M

Other operating $199M

SG&A $100M

Other operating $126M

Tax

$839M−11.87% QoQ

Other income

$47M+148.45% QoQ

Revenue$6.4B+4.00%

Gross profit

$4.2B+4.71%

66.32% margin

Operating income

$3.2B+2.16%

49.71% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.2B+7.04%

Net income

$2.5B+11.68%

39.51% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B+2.63%

Operating expenses

$1.1B+13.17%

Depreciation $632M

Other operating $199M

SG&A $100M

Other income$47M+148.45%

Tax$839M−11.87%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.66· ±3.2% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.2%4 of 10×1.66

NFPjobs report±3.1%7 of 10×1.61

CPIconsumer prices±2.1%6 of 10×1.12

GDPgross domestic product±2.1%11 of 19×1.10

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%9 of 19×1.03

FOMCrate decision±1.7%10 of 24×0.90

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%9 of 12×0.68

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.35 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	2.35	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	2.06	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	3.00	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod