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MPC as of Nov 1 · 22:06 ET
MPCNYSEPetroleum Refining

Marathon Petroleum Corp · Brief

Next report

1 day

Nov 3 · before openconfirmedQ3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
3 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±4.8%
avg realized
±3.2%
Feb 4 '25±3.8%▲+6.74%×1.77
May 6 '25±4.0%▲+0.85%×0.21
Aug 5 '25±3.0%▲+0.57%×0.19
Q3 FY25±5.5%▼−6.13%×1.11
Feb 3 '26±5.7%▲+6.03%×1.05
Q1 FY26±3.3%▼−0.60%×0.18
May 5 '26±5.8%▲+3.16%×0.55
Q2 FY26±7.1%▲+1.82%×0.26
quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×
Q2 FY26±7.1%▲+1.82%×0.26
May '26±5.8%▲+3.16%×0.55
Q1 FY26±3.3%▼−0.60%×0.18
Feb '26±5.7%▲+6.03%×1.05
Q3 FY25±5.5%▼−6.13%×1.11
Aug '25±3.0%▲+0.57%×0.19
2 older reports
May '25±4.0%▲+0.85%×0.21
Feb '25±3.8%▲+6.74%×1.77
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · confirmed

Bull2 of 3

12.00%of Chord Energy Corp's revenue from MPCSEC filings
4.48%largest fund weight within a major State Street sector ETF asset mixN-PORT · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

14 of 21largest reporting managers reduced their reported stakes in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
−0.33%shares held by the ten largest reporting managers declined over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

MPC report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±10.7% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.