What move does the options market price into Mohawk Industries's report?

Implied ±15.3%, either direction · provisional.

MHKNYSECarpets & Rugs

Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

139.23

+9.24 · +7.11%

post 138.69 −0.39%

Closed17:20 ET

Open133.34Volume3.0MMkt cap$8.1BP/E16.18EPS8.57

Day131.83 – 139.2393%52-wk92.99 – 141.1795%

MHK

Mohawk Industries Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±15.3%implied · straddle

118.12160.70

spot 139.41exp Feb 19ATM strike 140ATM straddle 25.05IV 41%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

after close · in 103 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+7.25%

vs ±10.2% implied · ×0.71

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.11%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

488 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

MHK weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Mohawk Industries (MHK) is expected to report on Feb 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed—▲+2.96%—

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+7.25%×0.71

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±10.2%▲+7.25%×0.71

Q2 FY26—+2.96%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.01OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3,768+4%Nov 2020d2.081,810+2%2.08

60+5%Dec 1848d0.20305+2%0.20

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

1320%Feb 19111d1310%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d3,768+4%1,810+2%2.08

Dec 1848d60+5%305+2%0.20

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

Feb 19111d1320%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.3%

Funds 2

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

5.86%as filednet margin · revenue −6.87% QoQ · +1.02% YoY

Revenue

$2.8B−6.87% QoQ

Gross profit

$710M−10.74% QoQ

25.47% margin

Operating income

$188M−26.01% QoQ

6.74% margin

Pre-tax income

$183M−26.24% QoQ

Net income

$163M−16.82% QoQ

5.86% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B−5.46% QoQ

Operating expenses

$522M−3.58% QoQ

Other expense

$4M

Tax

$20M−61.57% QoQ

Revenue$2.8B−6.87%

Gross profit

$710M−10.74%

25.47% margin

Operating income

$188M−26.01%

6.74% margin

Pre-tax income

$183M−26.24%

Net income

$163M−16.82%

5.86% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.1B−5.46%

Operating expenses

$522M−3.58%

Other expense

$4M

Tax$20M−61.57%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Oct 3 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.25· ±2.2% vs ±1.7% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.2%6 of 11×1.25

FOMCrate decision±2.1%10 of 25×1.20

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%9 of 19×0.97

NFPjobs report±1.7%5 of 10×0.95

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%7 of 11×0.79

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%11 of 19×0.77

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%9 of 12×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.72 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	2.72	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	3.22	—
Q1 FY26	—	1.90	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod