What move does the options market price into LKQ's report?

Implied ±15.7%, either direction · provisional.

LKQNasdaqWholesale-Motor Vehicles & Motor Vehicle Parts & Supplies

LKQ Corp (LKQ) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

19.27

−0.66 · −3.33%

post 19.57 +1.58%

After hours16:34 ETdelayed

Open20.17Volume8.1MMkt cap$5.0BP/E8.29EPS2.36Div yield6.02%

Day19.03 – 20.1747%52-wk16.85 – 35.9214%

LKQ

LKQ Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±15.7%implied · straddle

16.0321.98

spot 19.00exp Feb 19ATM strike 20ATM straddle 3.50IV 41%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 107 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.29%

vs ±7.7% implied · ×0.69

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

18hORCL · supplierOracle Announces Pricing of $20 Billion of Common Stock and Senior Notes

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.61%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

532 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

LKQ weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

LKQ (LKQ) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

3 reports

—≥ implied

Jul 30 '26Jul 30 '26confirmed—▼−14.36%—

Q3 FY26Oct 23 '26confirmed±11.0%▼−22.47%×2.04

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed±7.7%▲+5.29%×0.69

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26±7.7%▲+5.29%×0.69

Q3 FY26±11.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.53OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

26,534+35%Nov 2017d1.4817,8920%1.48

477+17%Dec 1845d0.077,0800%0.07

498+41%Jan 1573d0.60831+13%0.60

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

6810%Feb 19108d1,284+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d26,534+35%17,8920%1.48

Dec 1845d477+17%7,0800%0.07

Jan 1573d498+41%831+13%0.60

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.7%

Funds 2

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−0.71%as filednet margin · revenue +8.15% YoY

Revenue$3.8B—

Gross profit$1.2B32.66%—

Operating income$53M1.40%—

Pre-tax income$5M—

Net income−$27M−0.71%—

Cost of revenue$2.4B—

Operating expenses$1.4B—

Tax$32M—

Other income$14M—

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.51· ±2.0% vs ±1.3% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%13 of 19×1.51

GDPgross domestic product±1.8%12 of 19×1.36

FOMCrate decision±1.6%7 of 24×1.20

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%7 of 10×0.99

PPIproducer prices±1.3%5 of 10×0.98

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%8 of 12×0.76

NFPjobs report±0.9%8 of 10×0.67

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.30 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 23 '26 · confirmed	-0.30	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.00	—
Q4 FY25	—	0.25	—
Q3 FY25	—	0.70

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod