What move does the options market price into Kodiak AI's report?

Implied ±18.5%, either direction.

KDKNasdaqServices-Computer Integrated Systems Design

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.16

+0.04 · +3.57%

post 1.16 0.00%

After hours19:02 ETdelayed

Open1.14Volume3.9MMkt cap$224.7M

Day1.11 – 1.2341%52-wk0.96 – 11.352%

KDK

Kodiak AI, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±18.5%implied · report alone

0.951.37

straddle ±22.0%

spot 1.16exp Nov 20ATM strike 1ATM straddle 0.30IV 139%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 11

after close · in 8 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.75%

vs ±13.3% implied · ×0.21

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2hAESI · customerAtlas Energy Solutions posts net loss of $45,115 thousand; net loss per share $0.36

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+14.57%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

79 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

KDK weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Kodiak AI (KDK) is expected to report on Nov 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±13.3%▲+2.75%×0.21

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.3%▲+2.75%×0.21

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.72OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

8,120+135%Nov 2017d11,257+22%

1,577−4%Dec 1845d0.1411,441+4%0.14

1,891−24%Jan 1573d0.0824,342+4%0.08

226+60%Mar 19136d0.045,924+33%0.04

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d8,120+135%11,257+22%0.72

Dec 1845d1,577−4%11,441+4%0.14

Jan 1573d1,891−24%24,342+4%0.08

Mar 19136d226+60%5,924+33%0.04

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±22.0%

Funds 1

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

356.59%as filednet margin · revenue +91.20% QoQ · +595.63% YoY

Revenue$3M+91.20%

Gross profit$3M100.00%+91.20%

Operating income−$44M−1248.27%−15.39%

Pre-tax income$12M−52.84%

Net income$12M356.59%−52.90%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$47M+18.89%

Tax$14,000+450.00%

Other income$56M−12.70%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×3.73· ±5.5% vs ±1.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.5%4 of 10×3.73

CPIconsumer prices±4.3%4 of 10×2.94

CPROFcorporate profits±3.4%3 of 12×2.28

GDPgross domestic product±3.0%7 of 19×2.01

PPIproducer prices±2.9%4 of 10×1.98

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.2%7 of 19×1.52

FOMCrate decision±1.3%9 of 24×0.91

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.50 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.50	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.10	—
Q3 FY25	—	-3.89	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod