What move does the options market price into Samsara's report?

Implied ±7.4%, either direction.

IOTNYSEServices-Computer Integrated Systems Design

Samsara Inc. (IOT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

42.07

Closed16:00 ET

Open41.50Volume4.7MMkt cap$24.6BP/E262.94EPS0.16

Day41.10 – 42.07100%52-wk23.38 – 47.4778%

IOT

Samsara Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.4%implied · report alone

38.9745.17

straddle ±13.1%

spot 42.07exp Dec 4ATM strike 42ATM straddle 6.48IV 63%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 3

after close · in 32 days

est.Q3 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.74%

vs ±11.6% implied · ×0.32

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dAMZN · supplierAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.32%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

552 managers

Top fund weight

0.23%

IOT weight · IGPT

N-PORTJul 31 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Samsara (IOT) is expected to report on Dec 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY27Sep 3 '26confirmed±11.6%▲+3.74%×0.32

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY27±11.6%▲+3.74%×0.32

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.48OI · 7 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2 nearer expiries

926+7%Nov 65d1.00925+17%1.00

129−1%Nov 1312d0.21620+10%0.21

9,798+7%Nov 2019d0.6016,393+1%0.60

53+83%Nov 2726d0.26201+13%0.26

report · Dec 3 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

2 nearer expiries

Nov 65d926+7%925+17%1.00

Nov 1312d129−1%620+10%0.21

Nov 2019d9,798+7%16,393

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.1%

Funds 3

IGPT±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY27

3.19%as filednet margin · revenue +6.18% QoQ · +29.88% YoY

Revenue

$508M+6.18% QoQ

Gross profit

$393M+8.71% QoQ

77.21% margin

Operating income

$5M−32.24% QoQ

0.96% margin

Pre-tax income

$18M−64.17% QoQ

Net income

$16M−63.51% QoQ

3.19% margin

Cost of revenue

$116M−1.57% QoQ

Operating expenses

$388M+9.54% QoQ

Marketing $218M

R&D $103M

SG&A $67M

Tax

$1M−70.88% QoQ

Other income

$13M−69.68% QoQ

Revenue$508M+6.18%

Gross profit

$393M+8.71%

77.21% margin

Operating income

$5M−32.24%

0.96% margin

Pre-tax income

$18M−64.17%

Net income

$16M−63.51%

3.19% margin

Cost of revenue

$116M−1.57%

Operating expenses

$388M+9.54%

Marketing $218M

R&D $103M

SG&A $67M

Other income$13M−69.68%

Tax$1M−70.88%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Aug 1 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.70· ±4.3% vs ±2.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.3%5 of 10×1.70

CPROFcorporate profits±3.5%7 of 12×1.39

GDPgross domestic product±2.9%9 of 19×1.13

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%8 of 19×1.06

FOMCrate decision±2.3%10 of 24×0.90

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%3 of 11×0.74

PPIproducer prices±1.7%2 of 11×0.67

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY27	Sep 3 '26 · confirmed	0.03	—
Q1 FY27	—	0.08	—
Q3 FY26	—	0.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod