What move does the options market price into Intuit's report?

Implied ±7.4%, either direction.

How often does Intuit move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

INTUNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Intuit Inc. (INTU) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

346.46

pre 351.42 +1.94%

Pre-market07:47 ETdelayed

Open349.17Volume2.3MMkt cap$92.1BP/E21.26EPS16.53Div yield1.44%

Day347.58 – 352.4080%52-wk250.56 – 672.7924%

INTU

Intuit Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.4%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±7.8%·×0.94·fair

319.38370.06

straddle ±9.8%

spot 344.72exp Nov 20ATM strike 345ATM straddle 39.85IV 67%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 19

after close · in 15 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.24%

vs ±8.3% implied · ×0.39

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 25 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

12hGOOGL · supplierGoogle responds to political backlash over removing search from schools that ban AI
16hAAPL · supplierApple warns of risks related to AI agents behaving in 'unintended or unpredictable' ways

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+15.56%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,754 managers

Top fund weight

0.40%

INTU weight · XLK

N-PORTJun 30 '26

14 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Intuit (INTU) is expected to report on Nov 19 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.0%
avg realized: ±7.8%

Nov 21 '24Nov 21 '24confirmed±5.2%▼−5.68%×1.09

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+12.58%×2.20

May 22 '25May 22 '25confirmed±4.5%▲+8.12%×1.79

Aug 21 '25Aug 21 '25confirmed±5.0%▼−5.03%×1.00

Nov 20 '25Nov 20 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+4.03%×0.77

Q2 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+3.70%×0.55

Q3 FY26May 20 '26confirmed±7.5%▼−20.02%×2.66

Q4 FY26Aug 25 '26confirmed±8.3%▼−3.24%×0.39

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q4 FY26±8.3%▼−3.24%×0.39

Q3 FY26±7.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.44OI · 10 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3,868+34%Nov 62d0.765,096+32%0.76

2,278+15%Nov 139d0.872,613+80%0.87

report · Nov 19 · after close · est.

4,589+4%Nov 2016d10,491+3%

1,441+18%Nov 2723d1.67862+27%1.67

9—Dec 430d0.2634—0.26

5 later expiries

14—Dec 1137d0.3342+740%0.33

12,545+4%Dec 1844d0.75

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d3,868+34%5,096+32%0.76

Nov 139d2,278+15%2,613+80%0.87

report · Nov 19 · after close · est.

Nov 2016d4,589+4%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.8%

Funds 4

XLK±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

JEPI±0.0%

QQQ±0.0%

Suppliers 1

PYPL±3.0%×0.31

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

8.34%derived from FYnet margin · revenue −49.12% QoQ · +13.65% YoY

Revenue

$4.4B−49.12% QoQ

Gross profit

$3.4B−52.35% QoQ

79.10% margin

Operating income

$475M−88.18% QoQ

10.91% margin

Pre-tax income

$540M−86.66% QoQ

Net income

$363M−88.15% QoQ

8.34% margin

Cost of revenue

$910M−31.63% QoQ

Operating expenses

$3.0B−7.42% QoQ

Marketing $1.3B

R&D $857M

SG&A $391M

Other operating $457M

Tax

$177M−81.99% QoQ

Other income

$65M+140.74% QoQ

Revenue$4.4B−49.12%

Gross profit

$3.4B−52.35%

79.10% margin

Operating income

$475M−88.18%

10.91% margin

Pre-tax income

$540M−86.66%

Net income

$363M−88.15%

8.34% margin

Cost of revenue

$910M−31.63%

Operating expenses

$3.0B−7.42%

Marketing $1.3B

R&D $857M

SG&A $391M

Other income$65M+140.74%

Tax$177M−81.99%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Jul 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 07:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.81· ±2.9% vs ±1.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.9%2 of 10×1.81

NFPjobs report±2.4%4 of 10×1.45

FOMCrate decision±2.3%11 of 24×1.44

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%3 of 10×1.40

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%7 of 12×1.30

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%9 of 19×1.15

GDPgross domestic product±1.8%11 of 19×1.09

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.30 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Aug 25 '26 · confirmed	1.30	—
Q3 FY26	May 20 '26 · confirmed	11.09	—
Q2 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	2.48	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod