What move does the options market price into Hubspot's report?

Implied ±29.2%, either direction · provisional.

HUBSNYSEServices-Prepackaged Software

Hubspot Inc (HUBS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

234.84

−4.73 · −1.97%

post 234.99 +0.06%

Closed18:27 ET

Open237.11Volume966,527Mkt cap$11.7BP/E82.74EPS2.84

Day232.99 – 241.6523%52-wk169.63 – 497.9620%

HUBS

Hubspot Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±29.2%implied · straddle

166.32303.42

spot 234.87exp Mar 19ATM strike 230ATM straddle 80.65IV 71%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 16

after close · in 109 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.60%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

39dRNG · customerRingCentral Sees AI Driving Upsell, Growth and Stronger Customer Retention

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.20%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

594 managers

Top fund weight

0.21%

HUBS weight · IGPT

N-PORTJul 31 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hubspot (HUBS) is expected to report on Feb 16 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed—▼−19.10%—

Oct 6 '26Oct 6 '26confirmed—▼−1.60%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26—▼−1.60%—

Q2 FY26—▼−19.10%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 16 close

0.59OI · 4 expiries · Oct 16 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,247+27%Nov 2021d0.462,724+53%0.46

3,645−1%Dec 1849d1.143,188+1%1.14

7,3270%Jan 1577d1.295,6890%1.29

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

895+23%Mar 19140d1,518−11%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2021d1,247+27%2,724+53%0.46

Dec 1849d3,645−1%3,188+1%1.14

Jan 1577d7,3270%5,6890%1.29

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±29.2%

Funds 4

IGPT±0.1%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

REVS±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

4.75%as filednet margin · revenue +3.49% QoQ · +19.83% YoY

Revenue

$912M+3.49% QoQ

Gross profit

$751M+2.12% QoQ

82.35% margin

Operating income

$43M+55.03% QoQ

4.75% margin

Pre-tax income

$50M+26.14% QoQ

Net income

$43M+33.13% QoQ

4.75% margin

Cost of revenue

$161M+10.42% QoQ

Operating expenses

$708M+0.03% QoQ

Marketing $398M

R&D $226M

SG&A $83M

Tax

$6M−7.58% QoQ

Other income

$6M−44.96% QoQ

Revenue$912M+3.49%

Gross profit

$751M+2.12%

82.35% margin

Operating income

$43M+55.03%

4.75% margin

Pre-tax income

$50M+26.14%

Net income

$43M+33.13%

4.75% margin

Cost of revenue

$161M+10.42%

Operating expenses

$708M+0.03%

Marketing $398M

R&D $226M

SG&A $83M

Other income$6M−44.96%

Tax$6M−7.58%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.97· ±4.7% vs ±2.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.7%5 of 10×1.97

CPIconsumer prices±3.8%4 of 11×1.61

PPIproducer prices±3.4%4 of 11×1.42

CPROFcorporate profits±3.0%4 of 12×1.27

GDPgross domestic product±2.6%5 of 19×1.09

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%10 of 19×1.02

FOMCrate decision±2.1%13 of 24×0.88

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.86 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.86	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.62	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod