What move does the options market price into Figure Technology Solutions's report?

Implied ±26.2%, either direction · provisional.

FIGRNasdaqLoan Brokers

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. (FIGR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

23.07

+0.97 · +4.39%

Regular session15:54 ET

Open22.26Volume5.3MMkt cap$5.4BP/E22.18EPS1.04

Day22.01 – 23.5469%52-wk20.93 – 78.004%

FIGR

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±26.2%implied · straddle

16.3227.88

spot 22.10exp Jan 15ATM strike 22.5ATM straddle 6.80IV 86%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 11

before open · in 68 days

est.

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.21%

vs ±4.6% implied · ×0.26

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+34.50%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

310 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

FIGR weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR) is expected to report on Jan 11 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 13 '26confirmed—▲+3.91%—

Oct 6 '26Oct 6 '26confirmed±4.6%▲+1.21%×0.26

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Oct '26±4.6%▲+1.21%×0.26

Q2 FY26—▲+3.91%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.62OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3 nearer expiries

2,161−2%Nov 62d2.071,045+167%2.07

2,821+156%Nov 139d2.041,381+321%2.04

11,013+8%Nov 2016d0.5719,465+4%0.57

330+1400%Nov 2723d0.91363+515%0.91

830+223%Dec 1844d1.12741+586%1.12

report · Jan 11 · before open · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

3 nearer expiries

Nov 62d2,161−2%1,045+167%2.07

Nov 139d2,821+156%1,381+321%2.04

Nov 2016d11,013+8%19,465

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±26.2%

Funds 2

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

38.76%as filednet margin · revenue +35.08% QoQ · +112.66% YoY

Revenue

$226M+35.08% QoQ

Gross profit

$197M+35.12% QoQ

87.18% margin

Operating income

$78M+85.35% QoQ

34.46% margin

Pre-tax income

$83M+117.80% QoQ

Net income

$87M+94.10% QoQ

38.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$29M+34.82% QoQ

Operating expenses

$119M+14.78% QoQ

SG&A $51M

Marketing $31M

Other operating $21M

Other operating $16M

Other income

$5M+236.78% QoQ

Tax benefit

$4M

Revenue$226M+35.08%

Gross profit

$197M+35.12%

87.18% margin

Operating income

$78M+85.35%

34.46% margin

Pre-tax income

$83M+117.80%

Net income

$87M+94.10%

38.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$29M+34.82%

Operating expenses

$119M+14.78%

SG&A $51M

Marketing $31M

Other operating $21M

Other income$5M+236.78%

Tax benefit$4M

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.12· ±5.1% vs ±4.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.1%4 of 10×1.12

FOMCrate decision±4.7%2 of 9×1.03

CPIconsumer prices±4.3%7 of 10×0.93

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.3%3 of 11×0.93

GDPgross domestic product±4.2%3 of 11×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±3.3%1 of 8×0.73

NFPjobs report±2.8%4 of 10×0.62

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±4.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.35 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 13 '26 · confirmed	0.35	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.18	—
Q3 FY25	—	0.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod