How often does Expensify move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EXFYNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Expensify, Inc. (EXFY) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.30

0.00 · +0.22%

post 2.30 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open2.26Volume228,659Mkt cap$208.8MEPS-0.16

Day2.26 – 2.3164%52-wk0.69 – 2.8176%

EXFY

Expensify, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+35.86%

vs ±52.6% implied · ×0.68

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5hMQ · supplierMarqeta reports net income $115,442 thousand, net revenue $176,179 thousand for Q3
1dCM · supplierCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce updates code of conduct, board approves effective November 2026
6dUBER · supplierFTC demands Walmart, Uber, Delta and others hand over data on personalized pricing: Reuters

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−16.79%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

100 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

EXFY weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Expensify (EXFY) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±38.2%
avg realized: ±21.5%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±14.5%▲+23.74%×1.64

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±24.5%▲+20.34%×0.83

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±19.0%▼−22.22%×1.17

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±26.2%▼−12.11%×0.46

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±45.6%▼−12.74%×0.28

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±85.0%▼−23.38%×0.28

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed—▼−7.66%—

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±52.6%▲+35.86%×0.68

quarterimplied−85%0+85%realized×

Q2 FY26±52.6%▲+35.86%×0.68

May '26—−7.66%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.01OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

100%Jan 1573d1,3510%

20%Mar 19136d0.012950%0.01

0—Apr 16164d0.001340%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1573d100%1,3510%0.01

Mar 19136d20%2950%0.01

Apr 16164d0—1340%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−11.37%as filednet margin · revenue −0.30% QoQ · −5.31% YoY

Revenue$34M−0.30%

Gross profit$16M48.22%+0.98%

Operating income−$3M−8.63%−48.12%

Pre-tax income−$3M−50.97%

Net income−$4M−11.37%−64.78%

Cost of revenue$18M−1.47%

Operating expenses$19M+6.11%

Tax$1M+111.19%

Other income$202,000+18.13%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.91· ±6.5% vs ±3.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±6.5%3 of 10×1.91

PPIproducer prices±5.4%4 of 10×1.58

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.0%9 of 19×0.88

FOMCrate decision±2.6%10 of 24×0.77

CPIconsumer prices±2.4%5 of 11×0.71

GDPgross domestic product±1.8%11 of 19×0.54

CPROFcorporate profits±1.8%7 of 12×0.54

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±3.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.04 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.04	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	-0.03	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod