What move does the options market price into American Water Works's report?

Implied ±9.3%, either direction · provisional.

How often does American Water Works move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AWKNYSEWater Supply

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

149.54

+3.12 · +2.13%

post 149.54 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open146.26Volume2.2MMkt cap$29.2BP/E25.92EPS5.77Div yield2.35%

Day145.75 – 149.54100%52-wk118.81 – 148.15100%

AWK

American Water Works Company, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.3%implied · straddle

135.73163.53

spot 149.63exp Mar 19ATM strike 150ATM straddle 16.35IV 23%

Nov 4 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

after close · in 105 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.73%

vs ±4.2% implied · ×0.42

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.66%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

1,133 managers

Top fund weight

1.81%

AWK weight · XLU

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

American Water Works (AWK) is expected to report on Feb 17 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.5%
avg realized: ±1.2%

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±1.7%▲+0.63%×0.36

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±3.9%▼−0.39%×0.10

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±3.4%▲+0.42%×0.12

Oct 29 '25Oct 29 '25confirmed±3.8%▼−2.58%×0.67

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±1.9%▲+0.15%×0.08

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±4.2%▼−2.69%×0.65

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±4.6%▼−0.93%×0.20

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±4.2%▲+1.73%×0.42

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±4.2%▲+1.73%×0.42

Q2 FY26±4.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.60OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,626+3%Nov 2016d0.275,933+3%0.27

2,302+3%Dec 1844d0.693,359+4%0.69

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

835+6%Mar 19135d1,402+21%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1,626+3%5,933+3%0.27

Dec 1844d2,302+3%3,359+4%0.69

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d835+6%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.3%

Funds 4

XLU±0.2%

RSP±0.0%

JEPI±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

25.63%as filednet margin · revenue +11.44% QoQ · +4.07% YoY

Revenue

$1.5B+11.44% QoQ

Gross profit

$979M+12.01% QoQ

64.83% margin

Operating income

$641M+18.27% QoQ

42.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$499M+23.21% QoQ

Net income

$387M+22.86% QoQ

25.63% margin

Cost of revenue

$531M+10.40% QoQ

Operating expenses

$340M+2.41% QoQ

Depreciation $245M

Other operating $95M

Other expense

$142M

Tax

$112M+24.44% QoQ

Revenue$1.5B+11.44%

Gross profit

$979M+12.01%

64.83% margin

Operating income

$641M+18.27%

42.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$499M+23.21%

Net income

$387M+22.86%

25.63% margin

Cost of revenue

$531M+10.40%

Operating expenses

$340M+2.41%

Depreciation $245M

Other operating $95M

Other expense

$142M

Tax$112M+24.44%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.32· ±1.4% vs ±1.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.4%5 of 10×1.32

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%6 of 10×1.23

FOMCrate decision±1.2%8 of 24×1.12

PPIproducer prices±0.9%4 of 10×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%6 of 19×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%12 of 19×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.94 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	1.94	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	1.61	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	1.00	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod