How often does Atmos Energy move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ATONYSENatural Gas Distribution

Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

176.51

+2.74 · +1.58%

post 176.44 −0.04%

Closed16:41 ET

Open174.95Volume1.0MMkt cap$29.4BP/E20.81EPS8.48Div yield2.30%

Day171.79 – 176.5199%52-wk154.72 – 190.2861%

ATO

Atmos Energy Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 2

after close · in 90 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedNov 3 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

41dCOP · supplierConocoPhillips to hold third-quarter earnings conference call on Thursday, Nov. 5

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

1,040 managers

Top fund weight

2.02%

ATO weight · XLU

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Atmos Energy (ATO) is expected to report on Feb 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±2.9%
avg realized: ±1.7%

Nov 6 '24Nov 6 '24confirmed±2.5%▲+1.84%×0.75

Feb 4 '25Feb 4 '25confirmed±3.2%▲+1.87%×0.58

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±2.9%▼−0.87%×0.30

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±3.0%▲+3.63%×1.22

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±3.0%▲+1.67%×0.55

Q1 FY26Feb 3 '26confirmed±3.1%▲+1.79%×0.58

Q2 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±2.6%▼−1.57%×0.60

Q3 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±3.2%▼−0.13%×0.04

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±3.2%▼−0.13%×0.04

Q2 FY26±2.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

1.06OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1940%Nov 2016d0.26740−1%0.26

430%Dec 1844d0.351220%0.35

2730%Jan 1572d0.70389+3%0.70

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

99−1%Apr 16163d930%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1940%740−1%0.26

Dec 1844d430%1220%0.35

Jan 1572d2730%389+3%0.70

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

27.61%as filednet margin · revenue −55.20% QoQ · +4.80% YoY

Revenue

$879M−55.20% QoQ

Gross profit

$871M−32.76% QoQ

99.07% margin

Operating income

$320M−58.11% QoQ

36.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$303M−58.66% QoQ

Net income

$243M−58.29% QoQ

27.61% margin

Cost of revenue

$8M−98.77% QoQ

Operating expenses

$550M+3.80% QoQ

SG&A $223M

Depreciation $202M

Other operating $126M

Other expense

$17M

Tax

$61M−60.05% QoQ

Revenue$879M−55.20%

Gross profit

$871M−32.76%

99.07% margin

Operating income

$320M−58.11%

36.45% margin

Pre-tax income

$303M−58.66%

Net income

$243M−58.29%

27.61% margin

Cost of revenue

$8M−98.77%

Operating expenses

$550M+3.80%

SG&A $223M

Depreciation $202M

Other operating $126M

Other expense

$17M

Tax$61M−60.05%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.25· ±1.0% vs ±0.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.0%4 of 10×1.25

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%13 of 20×1.24

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%13 of 20×1.13

FOMCrate decision±0.8%12 of 24×1.10

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%7 of 12×1.04

PPIproducer prices±0.7%6 of 11×0.97

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%7 of 11×0.72

Bar = avg |move| to ±1% · tick = ±0.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.43 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.43	—
Q2 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	3.47	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 3 '26 · confirmed	2.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod