ATO as of Oct 31 · 15:23 ET

ATONYSENatural Gas Distribution

Atmos Energy Corp · Brief

Next report

4 days

Nov 4 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±2.4%implied · report alone

168.21176.61

straddle ±3.5%

spot 172.41exp Nov 20ATM strike 170ATM straddle 7.20IV 21%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±2.9%
avg realized: ±1.7%

Nov 6 '24±2.5%▲+1.84%×0.75

Feb 4 '25±3.2%▲+1.87%×0.58

May 7 '25±2.9%▼−0.87%×0.30

Aug 6 '25±3.0%▲+3.63%×1.22

Nov 5 '25±3.0%▲+1.67%×0.55

Q1 FY26±3.1%▲+1.79%×0.58

Q2 FY26±2.6%▼−1.57%×0.60

Q3 FY26±3.2%▼−0.13%×0.04

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±3.2%▼−0.13%×0.04

Q2 FY26±2.6%▼−1.57%×0.60

Q1 FY26±3.1%▲+1.79%×0.58

Nov '25±3.0%▲+1.67%×0.55

Aug '25±3.0%▲+3.63%×1.22

May '25±2.9%▼−0.87%×0.30

2 older reports

Feb '25±3.2%▲+1.87%×0.58

Nov '24±2.5%▲+1.84%×0.75

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

10disclosed supplier and customer ties reported in SEC filingsSEC filings

1,040managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

9 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

−2.93%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ATO report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±3.7% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Oct 98-KMaterial agreement: Indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as successor in interest to U.S. Bank National…Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.