What move does the options market price into ARM's report?

Implied ±8.0%, either direction.

ARMNasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

ARM Holdings PLC (ARM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

204.97

pre 210.24 +2.07%

Pre-market09:29 ET

Open210.50Volume10.6MMkt cap$220.0BP/E243.34

Day199.69 – 211.4090%52-wk100.02 – 452.7031%

ARM

ARM Holdings PLC

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.0%implied · report alone

189.50222.44

straddle ±10.4%

spot 205.97exp Nov 6ATM strike 205ATM straddle 25.25IV 111%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 2 days

confirmed

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+7.40%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

9.00%

of ARM revenue · Qualcomm Inc. and Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. (together "Qualcomm")

customerARM 20-F

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+31.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

979 managers

Top fund weight

1.17%

ARM weight · SMH

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

ARM (ARM) reports on Nov 4 after close (confirmed date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Jul 29 '26Jul 29 '26confirmed—▲+7.40%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Jul '26—▲+7.40%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.68OI · 11 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

10,476+33%Nov 64d15,379+124%

4,718+14%Nov 1311d1.064,459+21%1.06

60,433+18%Nov 2018d1.2050,412+4%1.20

2,270—Nov 2725d1.701,336—1.70

321+165%Dec 432d4.1777+64%4.17

6 later expiries

51—Dec 1139d3.9213—3.92

89,402+2%Dec 1846d1.09

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 64d10,476+33%15,379+124%0.68

Nov 1311d4,718+14%4,459+21%1.06

Nov 2018d60,433+18%50,412+4%1.20

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.4%

Funds 4

SMH±0.1%

SOXX±0.1%

QQQ±0.1%

IGPT±0.1%

Dashed = straddleMethod 1 more fund Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.19· ±3.9% vs ±3.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.9%2 of 10×1.19

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.9%11 of 19×1.17

PPIproducer prices±3.5%6 of 11×1.05

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%10 of 19×0.99

CPROFcorporate profits±3.1%6 of 12×0.95

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%3 of 11×0.91

FOMCrate decision±3.0%13 of 24×0.90

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

No reported quarters.

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod