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ADM as of Oct 31 · 05:33 ET
ADMNYSEFats & Oils

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co · Brief

Next report

3 days

Nov 3 · before openest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
2 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±4.8%
avg realized
±2.6%
Nov 18 '24±1.6%▲+0.53%×0.34
Feb 4 '25±3.9%▼−5.06%×1.31
May 6 '25±5.0%▲+1.73%×0.35
Aug 5 '25±3.5%▲+6.00%×1.70
Q3 FY25±4.6%▲+0.05%×0.01
Feb 3 '26±8.0%▼−1.01%×0.13
Q1 FY26±5.4%▲+3.83%×0.71
Q2 FY26±6.5%▲+2.32%×0.36
quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×
Q2 FY26±6.5%▲+2.32%×0.36
Q1 FY26±5.4%▲+3.83%×0.71
Feb '26±8.0%▼−1.01%×0.13
Q3 FY25±4.6%▲+0.05%×0.01
Aug '25±3.5%▲+6.00%×1.70
May '25±5.0%▲+1.73%×0.35
2 older reports
Feb '25±3.9%▼−5.06%×1.31
Nov '24±1.6%▲+0.53%×0.34
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2

5disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings
11tracked funds holding ADMN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2

6 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
2.39%of State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF's assets, the largest tracked-fund weightN-PORT · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ADM report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±6.7% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.